With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15.8x Livzon Pharmaceutical Group Inc. (SZSE:000513) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 35x and even P/E's higher than 63x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Livzon Pharmaceutical Group certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
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What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
Livzon Pharmaceutical Group's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 9.9% last year. EPS has also lifted 20% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been respectable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 7.1% as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 44%, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Livzon Pharmaceutical Group's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Final Word
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Livzon Pharmaceutical Group maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Livzon Pharmaceutical Group you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Livzon Pharmaceutical Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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