Is Nanjing Tanker (SHSE:601975) A Risky Investment?
Is Nanjing Tanker (SHSE:601975) A Risky Investment?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Nanjing Tanker Corporation (SHSE:601975) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
沃倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。我們可以看到,南京油輪公司(SHSE: 601975)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務會帶來什麼風險?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或利用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。資本主義的重要部分是 “創造性破壞” 的過程,在這個過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。儘管這種情況不太常見,但我們經常看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以低價籌集資金。但是,通過取代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業的一個非常好的工具。考慮公司債務水平的第一步是將其現金和債務放在一起考慮。
View our latest analysis for Nanjing Tanker
查看我們對南京油輪的最新分析
What Is Nanjing Tanker's Debt?
南京油輪的債務是多少?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Nanjing Tanker had CN¥1.86b in debt in September 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it does have CN¥2.84b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥978.2m.
您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖表顯示,南京油輪在2023年9月有18.6億元人民幣的債務;與前一年大致相同。但是,它確實有28.4億元的現金抵消了這一點,淨現金爲9.782億元人民幣。
How Strong Is Nanjing Tanker's Balance Sheet?
南京油輪的資產負債表有多強?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Nanjing Tanker had liabilities of CN¥1.12b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.77b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.84b as well as receivables valued at CN¥965.7m due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥914.4m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
根據上次報告的資產負債表,南京油輪的負債爲11.2億元人民幣,12個月後到期的負債爲17.7億元人民幣。除了這些債務外,它還有28.4億元人民幣的現金以及價值9.657億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。所以它實際上有9.144億元人民幣 更多 流動資產大於總負債。
This short term liquidity is a sign that Nanjing Tanker could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Nanjing Tanker boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
這種短期流動性表明,由於其資產負債表遠未捉襟見肘,南京油輪很可能會輕鬆還清債務。簡而言之,南京油輪擁有淨現金,因此可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!
In addition to that, we're happy to report that Nanjing Tanker has boosted its EBIT by 62%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Nanjing Tanker can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
除此之外,我們很高興地報告,南京油輪已將其息稅前利潤提高了62%,從而減少了對未來債務償還的擔憂。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但最終,該業務的未來盈利能力將決定南京油輪能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Nanjing Tanker has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Nanjing Tanker produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 68% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
但是我們最終的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。儘管南京油輪的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。在過去的三年中,南京油輪產生了穩健的自由現金流,相當於其息稅前利潤的68%,與我們的預期差不多。這種自由現金流使公司處於有利地位,可以在適當的時候償還債務。
Summing Up
總結
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Nanjing Tanker has CN¥978.2m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 62% over the last year. So is Nanjing Tanker's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Nanjing Tanker, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.
儘管調查公司的債務總是明智的,但在這種情況下,南京油輪的淨現金爲9.782億元人民幣,資產負債表看起來不錯。它的息稅前利潤比去年增長了62%,給我們留下了深刻的印象。那麼南京油輪的債務有風險嗎?在我們看來,情況並非如此。隨着時間的推移,股價往往會跟隨每股收益,因此,如果你對南京油輪感興趣,你很可能想點擊這裏查看其每股收益歷史的互動圖表。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
歸根結底,通常最好將注意力集中在沒有淨負債的公司身上。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長記錄)。它是免費的。
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