When you see that almost half of the companies in the Metals and Mining industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.4x, Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301217) looks to be giving off some sell signals with its 2.5x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
View our latest analysis for Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group
How Has Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group Performed Recently?
Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group's revenue growth of late has been pretty similar to most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this modest revenue performance will accelerate. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
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How Is Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 3.2% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 58% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 11% as estimated by the only analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 17%, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this in consideration, we believe it doesn't make sense that Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group's P/S is outpacing its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've concluded that Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its forecast growth is lower than the wider industry. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group (2 are potentially serious!) that you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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