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We Think Shenyang Chemical Industry (SZSE:000698) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

We Think Shenyang Chemical Industry (SZSE:000698) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

我們認爲瀋陽化工(SZSE: 000698)有相當一部分債務
Simply Wall St ·  01/03 09:15

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Shenyang Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000698) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。與許多其他公司一樣,瀋陽化工股份有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:000698)也使用債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所獲。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司爲了控制債務,必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東。但是,通過取代稀釋,對於需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業來說,債務可以成爲一個非常好的工具。考慮公司的債務水平的第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。

Check out our latest analysis for Shenyang Chemical Industry

查看我們對瀋陽化工的最新分析

What Is Shenyang Chemical Industry's Net Debt?

瀋陽化工的淨負債是多少?

As you can see below, Shenyang Chemical Industry had CN¥2.81b of debt, at September 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has CN¥1.56b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥1.25b.

如下所示,截至2023年9月,瀋陽化工有28.1億元人民幣的債務,與前一年大致相同。您可以單擊圖表以獲取更多詳細信息。另一方面,它擁有15.6億元的現金,淨負債約爲12.5億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000698 Debt to Equity History January 3rd 2024
SZSE: 000698 2024 年 1 月 3 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

How Strong Is Shenyang Chemical Industry's Balance Sheet?

瀋陽化工的資產負債表有多強?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Shenyang Chemical Industry had liabilities of CN¥3.39b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.30b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.56b and CN¥1.01b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥2.12b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

根據上次報告的資產負債表,瀋陽化工在12個月內到期的負債爲33.9億元人民幣,12個月以後到期的負債爲13.0億元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲15.6億元人民幣,還有價值10.1億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總額高出21.2億元人民幣。

This deficit isn't so bad because Shenyang Chemical Industry is worth CN¥3.80b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Shenyang Chemical Industry's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

這種赤字還不錯,因爲瀋陽化工的市值爲380億元人民幣,因此,如果有需要,可能會籌集足夠的資金來支撐其資產負債表。但是,我們絕對希望留意其債務帶來過大風險的跡象。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,影響未來資產負債表狀況的是瀋陽化工的收益。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得一看收益趨勢。單擊此處查看交互式快照。

In the last year Shenyang Chemical Industry had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 29%, to CN¥4.9b. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

去年,瀋陽化工在利息和稅前出現虧損,實際收入減少了29%,至49億元人民幣。至少可以說,這讓我們感到緊張。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Shenyang Chemical Industry's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost a very considerable CN¥742m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥262m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shenyang Chemical Industry you should know about.

在過去的十二個月中,瀋陽化工不僅收入下滑,而且還產生了負的息稅前收益(EBIT)。事實上,按息稅前利潤水平計算,它損失了相當可觀的7.42億加元。考慮到這一點,除了上述負債外,我們對公司應該使用如此多的債務沒有太大的信心。因此,我們認爲其資產負債表有些緊張,儘管並非無法修復。另一個需要謹慎的原因是,在過去的十二個月中,自由現金流爲負2.62億元人民幣。因此,簡而言之,這是一隻非常有風險的股票。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有它們,我們發現了一個你應該知道的瀋陽化工警告標誌。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

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