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Shenzhen Guangju Energy Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000096) Stock Is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

Shenzhen Guangju Energy Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000096) Stock Is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

深圳廣聚能源有限公司s (SZSE: 000096) 股價飆升但財務狀況似乎前後矛盾:上漲趨勢會持續嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  01/02 22:33

Shenzhen Guangju Energy's (SZSE:000096) stock is up by a considerable 35% over the past three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. In this article, we decided to focus on Shenzhen Guangju Energy's ROE.

深圳廣聚能源(深圳證券交易所:000096)的股票在過去三個月中上漲了35%。但是,我們想知道該公司財務狀況不穩定是否會對當前的股價勢頭產生任何不利影響。在本文中,我們決定重點關注深圳廣聚能源的投資回報率。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回報率或投資回報率是股東要考慮的重要因素,因爲它告訴他們資本再投資的有效性。簡而言之,投資回報率顯示了每美元從其股東投資中產生的利潤。

View our latest analysis for Shenzhen Guangju Energy

查看我們對深圳廣聚能源的最新分析

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股本回報率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE 可以通過使用以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shenzhen Guangju Energy is:

因此,根據上述公式,深圳廣聚能源的投資回報率爲:

2.2% = CN¥58m ÷ CN¥2.7b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

2.2% = 5800萬元人民幣 ÷ 27億元人民幣(基於截至2023年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.02 in profit.

“回報” 是每年的利潤。將其概念化的一種方法是,每擁有1元人民幣的股東資本,公司的利潤爲0.02元人民幣。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長有什麼關係?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我們已經確定,投資回報率是衡量公司未來收益的有效利潤指標。我們現在需要評估公司再投資或 “保留” 了多少利潤以用於未來的增長,這樣我們就可以了解公司的增長潛力。一般而言,在其他條件相同的情況下,股本回報率和利潤保留率高的公司比不具備這些屬性的公司的增長率更高。

A Side By Side comparison of Shenzhen Guangju Energy's Earnings Growth And 2.2% ROE

深圳光聚能源的收益增長和2.2%的投資回報率的並排比較

It is hard to argue that Shenzhen Guangju Energy's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 12%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 16% seen by Shenzhen Guangju Energy was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

很難說深圳廣聚能源的投資回報率本身就非常好。即使與12%的行業平均投資回報率相比,該公司的投資回報率也相當慘淡。因此,說深圳廣聚能源五年淨收入下降16%可能是其投資回報率下降的結果,這可能沒有錯。我們認爲,這裏可能還有其他因素在起作用。例如-收益保留率低或資本配置不佳。

However, when we compared Shenzhen Guangju Energy's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 26% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

但是,當我們將深圳廣聚能源的增長與行業的增長進行比較時,我們發現,儘管該公司的收益一直在萎縮,但同期該行業的收益增長了26%。這非常令人擔憂。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:000096 Past Earnings Growth January 3rd 2024
SZSE: 000096 過去的收益增長 2024 年 1 月 3 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Shenzhen Guangju Energy fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增長是股票估值的重要因素。對於投資者來說,重要的是要知道市場是否對公司的預期收益增長(或下降)進行了定價。然後,這可以幫助他們確定股票是面向光明還是暗淡的未來。與其他公司相比,深圳光聚能源的估值是否合理?這3種估值指標可能會幫助您做出決定。

Is Shenzhen Guangju Energy Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

深圳廣聚能源是否在高效地將利潤再投資?

Looking at its three-year median payout ratio of 29% (or a retention ratio of 71%) which is pretty normal, Shenzhen Guangju Energy's declining earnings is rather baffling as one would expect to see a fair bit of growth when a company is retaining a good portion of its profits. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

縱觀其三年派息率中位數爲29%(或71%的留存率),這是很正常的,深圳光聚能源的收益下降相當令人困惑,因爲當一家公司保留很大一部分利潤時,人們預計會出現相當大的增長。因此,在這方面可能還有其他解釋。例如,該公司的業務可能正在惡化。

In addition, Shenzhen Guangju Energy has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

此外,深圳廣聚能源在至少十年內一直在派發股息,這表明即使以業務增長爲代價,維持股息支付對管理層來說也更爲重要。

Conclusion

結論

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Shenzhen Guangju Energy's performance. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 1 risk we have identified for Shenzhen Guangju Energy by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

總的來說,我們對深圳廣聚能源的表現有點矛盾。儘管該公司的利潤保留率確實很高,但其低迴報率可能會阻礙其收益增長。總而言之,我們將謹慎對待這家公司,其中一種方法是研究該業務的風險狀況。您可以訪問我們的 1 種風險來查看我們爲深圳廣聚能源確定的 1 種風險 風險儀表板 在我們的平台上免費使用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

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