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Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine (SZSE:000869) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine (SZSE:000869) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

煙臺張裕先鋒葡萄酒(深圳證券交易所代碼:000869)似乎相當明智地使用債務
Simply Wall St ·  01/05 21:25

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine Company Limited (SZSE:000869) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

霍華德·馬克斯說得好,他說的不是擔心股價的波動,而是 “永久損失的可能性是我擔心的風險... 也是我認識的每位實際投資者所擔心的風險。”當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們注意到,煙臺張裕先鋒葡萄酒有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:000869)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?

When Is Debt A Problem?

債務何時會成爲問題?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或使用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。歸根結底,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所有地離開。但是,更常見(但成本仍然很高)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,只是爲了支撐其資產負債表。但是,通過取代稀釋,對於需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業來說,債務可能是一個非常好的工具。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是將現金和債務放在一起考慮。

View our latest analysis for Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine

查看我們對煙臺張裕先鋒葡萄酒的最新分析

What Is Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's Net Debt?

煙臺張裕先鋒酒業的淨負債是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine had debt of CN¥540.5m at the end of September 2023, a reduction from CN¥753.2m over a year. However, it does have CN¥1.87b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥1.33b.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,煙臺張裕先鋒葡萄酒截至2023年9月底的債務爲5.405億元人民幣,較一年7.532億元人民幣有所減少。但是,它確實有18.7億元的現金抵消了這一點,淨現金爲13.3億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000869 Debt to Equity History January 6th 2024
SZSE: 000869 2024 年 1 月 6 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

How Healthy Is Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's Balance Sheet?

煙臺張裕先鋒葡萄酒的資產負債表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine had liabilities of CN¥1.92b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥201.2m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.87b as well as receivables valued at CN¥523.4m due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥270.7m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,煙臺張裕先鋒葡萄酒在12個月內到期的負債爲19.2億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲2.01億元人民幣。除了這些債務外,它還有18.7億元人民幣的現金以及價值5.234億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它擁有的流動資產可以多出2.707億元人民幣 負債。

Having regard to Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥13.7b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Succinctly put, Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

考慮到煙臺張裕先鋒酒業的規模,其流動資產與總負債的平衡似乎良好。因此,儘管很難想象這家137億元人民幣的公司正在爲現金而苦苦掙扎,但我們仍然認爲值得監控其資產負債表。簡而言之,煙臺張裕先鋒酒業擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

On the other hand, Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's EBIT dived 19%, over the last year. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

另一方面,煙臺張裕先鋒葡萄酒的息稅前利潤比去年下降了19%。我們認爲,這種表現如果經常重演,很可能會給股票帶來困難。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲煙臺張裕先鋒葡萄酒需要收益來償還債務。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得一看收益趨勢。單擊此處查看交互式快照。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

最後,儘管稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。煙臺張裕先鋒酒業的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但研究該企業如何將其利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。在過去的三年中,煙臺張裕先鋒葡萄酒產生的自由現金流實際上超過了息稅前利潤。當Daft Punk音樂會的節拍下降時,這種強勁的現金轉換讓我們和觀衆一樣興奮。

Summing Up

總結

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine has CN¥1.33b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. The cherry on top was that in converted 122% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥721m. So we don't have any problem with Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

儘管調查一家公司的債務總是明智的,但在本案中,煙臺張裕先鋒酒業的淨現金爲13.3億元人民幣,資產負債表看起來不錯。最重要的是,它將息稅前利潤的122%轉換爲自由現金流,帶來了7.21億元人民幣的收入。因此,我們對煙臺張裕先鋒酒業使用債務沒有任何問題。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。請注意,煙臺張裕先鋒酒業在我們的投資分析中顯示了1個警告信號,你應該知道...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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