When close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 10x, you may consider Dongfeng Motor Group Company Limited (HKG:489) as a highly attractive investment with its 4.4x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Dongfeng Motor Group has been very sluggish. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
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Is There Any Growth For Dongfeng Motor Group?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Dongfeng Motor Group's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 27%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 22% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 3.9% per year during the coming three years according to the eight analysts following the company. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 15% per annum.
With this information, we are not surprised that Dongfeng Motor Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.
The Key Takeaway
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Dongfeng Motor Group maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 4 warning signs for Dongfeng Motor Group (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Dongfeng Motor Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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