We Think Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd (SHSE:600227) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt
We Think Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd (SHSE:600227) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Guizhou Chitianhua Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600227) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
霍華德·馬克斯說得好,他說的不是擔心股價的波動,而是 “永久損失的可能性是我擔心的風險... 也是我認識的每位實際投資者所擔心的風險。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。我們注意到貴州赤天化有限公司, Ltd.(上海證券交易所股票代碼:600227)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務會帶來什麼風險?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
當企業無法通過自由現金流或以誘人的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會成爲風險。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常會看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以不良价格籌集資金。當然,債務可以成爲企業的重要工具,尤其是資本密集型企業。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是同時考慮其現金和債務。
See our latest analysis for Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd
查看我們對貴州赤天華LTD的最新分析
How Much Debt Does Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd Carry?
貴州赤天華持有多少債務?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd had debt of CN¥946.3m, up from CN¥620.2m in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥400.5m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥545.8m.
您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2023年9月,貴州赤天華股份有限公司的債務爲9.463億元人民幣,高於一年內的6.202億元人民幣。但是,由於其現金儲備爲4.005億元人民幣,其淨負債較少,約爲5.458億元人民幣。
A Look At Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd's Liabilities
看看貴州赤天華控股的負債
According to the last reported balance sheet, Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.65b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥540.7m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥400.5m as well as receivables valued at CN¥477.3m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.31b.
根據上次報告的資產負債表,貴州赤天華股份有限公司的負債爲16.5億元人民幣,12個月後到期的負債爲5.407億元人民幣。除了這些債務外,它還有價值4.05億元人民幣的現金以及價值4.773億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額13.1億元人民幣。
Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥4.28b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
貴州ChitianHualTD的市值爲42.8億元人民幣,因此,如果需要,它很可能會籌集資金以改善其資產負債表。但是,我們絕對希望留意其債務帶來過大風險的跡象。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,影響未來資產負債表狀況的是貴州赤天華控股的收益。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。
Over 12 months, Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥2.3b, which is a fall of 8.0%. That's not what we would hope to see.
在過去的12個月中,貴州赤天華股份在息稅前利潤水平上出現虧損,收入下降至23億元人民幣,下降8.0%。這不是我們希望看到的。
Caveat Emptor
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥340m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥36m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So to be blunt we think it is risky. For riskier companies like Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd I always like to keep an eye on the long term profit and revenue trends. Fortunately, you can click to see our interactive graph of its profit, revenue, and operating cashflow.
在過去的十二個月中,貴州赤天華控股產生了息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損。具體而言,息稅前利潤虧損爲3.4億元人民幣。考慮到除了上述負債外,我們對公司應該使用如此多的債務沒有太大的信心。坦率地說,我們認爲資產負債表遠非匹配,儘管可以隨着時間的推移而改善。另一個需要謹慎的原因是,在過去的十二個月中,自由現金流損失了3600萬元人民幣。因此,坦率地說,我們認爲這是有風險的。對於像貴州ChitianHualTD這樣的風險較高的公司,我總是喜歡關注長期的利潤和收入趨勢。幸運的是,您可以點擊查看我們的利潤、收入和運營現金流的交互式圖表。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。