Here's Why Kunshan Kersen Science & TechnologyLtd (SHSE:603626) Can Afford Some Debt
Here's Why Kunshan Kersen Science & TechnologyLtd (SHSE:603626) Can Afford Some Debt
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Kunshan Kersen Science & Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603626) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
霍華德·馬克斯說得好,他說的不是擔心股價的波動,而是 “永久損失的可能性是我擔心的風險... 也是我認識的每位實際投資者所擔心的風險。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。重要的是,崑山科森科技股份有限公司, Ltd.(上海證券交易所股票代碼:603626)確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?
When Is Debt A Problem?
債務何時會成爲問題?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。資本主義的組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司爲了控制債務,必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。
View our latest analysis for Kunshan Kersen Science & TechnologyLtd
查看我們對崑山科森科技有限公司的最新分析
What Is Kunshan Kersen Science & TechnologyLtd's Debt?
崑山科森科技有限公司的債務是多少?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Kunshan Kersen Science & TechnologyLtd had CN¥1.33b of debt, up from CN¥1.26b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥373.3m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥956.4m.
如下所示,截至2023年9月底,崑山科森科技有限公司的債務爲13.3億元人民幣,高於去年同期的12.6億元人民幣。點擊圖片查看更多細節。但是,由於其現金儲備爲3.733億元人民幣,其淨負債較少,約爲9.564億元人民幣。
How Strong Is Kunshan Kersen Science & TechnologyLtd's Balance Sheet?
崑山科森科技有限公司的資產負債表有多強?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Kunshan Kersen Science & TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.51b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥902.1m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥373.3m in cash and CN¥1.29b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥752.6m.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,崑山科森科技有限公司的負債爲151億元人民幣,此後到期的負債爲9.021億元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有3.733億元的現金和12.9億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額7.526億元人民幣。
Given Kunshan Kersen Science & TechnologyLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥4.49b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Kunshan Kersen Science & TechnologyLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
鑑於崑山科森科技有限公司的市值爲449億元人民幣,很難相信這些負債會構成很大的威脅。但是,我們確實認爲值得關注其資產負債表的實力,因爲它可能會隨着時間的推移而發生變化。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲崑山科森科技有限公司需要收益來償還債務。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得一看收益趨勢。單擊此處查看交互式快照。
Over 12 months, Kunshan Kersen Science & TechnologyLtd made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥2.8b, which is a fall of 28%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
在過去的12個月中,崑山科森科技有限公司在息稅前利潤水平上出現虧損,收入下降至28億元人民幣,下降了28%。至少可以說,這讓我們感到緊張。
Caveat Emptor
Caveat Emptor
Not only did Kunshan Kersen Science & TechnologyLtd's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥126m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of CN¥111m. So to be blunt we do think it is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Kunshan Kersen Science & TechnologyLtd that you should be aware of.
在過去的十二個月中,崑山科森科技有限公司不僅收入下滑,而且還產生了負的息稅前收益(EBIT)。具體而言,息稅前利潤虧損爲1.26億元人民幣。考慮到除了上述負債外,我們對公司應該使用如此多的債務沒有太大的信心。因此,我們認爲其資產負債表有些緊張,儘管並非無法修復。例如,我們不希望看到去年1.11億元人民幣的虧損重演。因此,坦率地說,我們確實認爲這是有風險的。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,我們已經確定了崑山科森科技有限公司的1個警告標誌,你應該注意這個標誌。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。
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