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Here's Why Henan Shenhuo Coal & PowerLtd (SZSE:000933) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Here's Why Henan Shenhuo Coal & PowerLtd (SZSE:000933) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

以下是河南神火煤電有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:000933)可以負責任地管理債務的原因
Simply Wall St ·  01/17 18:51

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Henan Shenhuo Coal & Power Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000933) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

霍華德·馬克斯說得好,他說的不是擔心股價的波動,而是 “永久損失的可能性是我擔心的風險... 也是我認識的每位實際投資者所擔心的風險。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。與許多其他公司一樣,河南神火煤電有限公司, Ltd(深圳證券交易所代碼:000933)使用債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常會看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以不良价格籌集資金。但是,通過取代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業的極好工具。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是同時考慮其現金和債務。

View our latest analysis for Henan Shenhuo Coal & PowerLtd

查看我們對河南神火煤電有限公司的最新分析

What Is Henan Shenhuo Coal & PowerLtd's Net Debt?

河南神火煤電有限公司的淨負債是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Henan Shenhuo Coal & PowerLtd had CN¥26.8b of debt, up from CN¥20.5b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had CN¥18.0b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥8.80b.

如下所示,截至2023年9月底,河南神火煤電有限公司的債務爲268億元人民幣,高於去年同期的205億元人民幣。點擊圖片了解更多詳情。但是,它也有180億元的現金,因此其淨負債爲880億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000933 Debt to Equity History January 17th 2024
SZSE: 000933 2024 年 1 月 17 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

How Healthy Is Henan Shenhuo Coal & PowerLtd's Balance Sheet?

河南神火煤電有限公司的資產負債表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Henan Shenhuo Coal & PowerLtd had liabilities of CN¥32.7b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥5.54b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥18.0b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.81b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥18.5b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,河南神火煤電有限公司在12個月內到期的負債爲327億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲55.4億元人民幣。除這些債務外,它有180億元人民幣的現金以及價值18.1億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總額高出185億元人民幣。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Henan Shenhuo Coal & PowerLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥37.4b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

儘管這可能看起來很多,但還不錯,因爲河南神火煤電有限公司的市值爲374億元人民幣,因此如果需要,它可能會通過籌集資金來強化資產負債表。但是,我們絕對希望留意其債務帶來過大風險的跡象。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

我們通過以下方法來衡量公司的債務負擔與其盈利能力:將其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),並計算其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)支付利息支出(利息保障)的難易程度。因此,我們將債務與收益的關係考慮在內,包括和不包括折舊和攤銷費用。

Henan Shenhuo Coal & PowerLtd has a low debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.91. And remarkably, despite having net debt, it actually received more in interest over the last twelve months than it had to pay. So there's no doubt this company can take on debt while staying cool as a cucumber. In fact Henan Shenhuo Coal & PowerLtd's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 36% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Henan Shenhuo Coal & PowerLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

河南神火煤電有限公司的債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比率很低,僅爲0.91。值得注意的是,儘管有淨負債,但它在過去十二個月中獲得的利息實際上超過了必須支付的利息。因此,毫無疑問,這家公司可以承擔債務,同時保持冷靜。實際上,河南神火煤電有限公司的救濟之處在於其低債務水平,因爲其息稅前利潤在過去十二個月中下降了36%。收益下降(如果這種趨勢持續下去)最終也可能使即使是微不足道的債務也相當危險。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,未來的收益將決定河南神火煤電有限公司未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Henan Shenhuo Coal & PowerLtd actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

最後,儘管稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。因此,我們顯然需要研究息稅前利潤是否會帶來相應的自由現金流。在過去的三年中,河南神火煤電有限公司產生的自由現金流實際上超過了息稅前利潤。這種強勁的現金產生像穿着大黃蜂套裝的小狗一樣溫暖着我們的心。

Our View

我們的觀點

Henan Shenhuo Coal & PowerLtd's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. In particular, we are dazzled with its interest cover. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Henan Shenhuo Coal & PowerLtd's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Henan Shenhuo Coal & PowerLtd you should know about.

儘管我們考慮的其他因素要好得多,但根據該分析,河南神火煤電有限公司的息稅前利潤增長率確實爲負數。特別是,它的興趣封面令我們眼花繚亂。當我們考慮上述所有因素時,我們確實對河南神火煤電有限公司的債務使用感到有些謹慎。儘管我們意識到債務可以提高股本回報率,但我們建議股東密切關注其債務水平,以免債務增加。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有它們,我們已經發現了一個你應該知道的河南神火煤電有限公司的警告標誌。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼請立即查看我們的獨家淨現金增長股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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