Guangdong Guanhao High-Tech (SHSE:600433) Is Carrying A Fair Bit Of Debt
Guangdong Guanhao High-Tech (SHSE:600433) Is Carrying A Fair Bit Of Debt
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Guangdong Guanhao High-Tech Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600433) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
有人說,波動性,而不是債務,是投資者思考風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。重要的是,廣東冠豪高科技股份有限公司(SHSE: 600433)確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務會帶來什麼風險?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常會看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以不良价格籌集資金。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。考慮公司的債務水平的第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。
See our latest analysis for Guangdong Guanhao High-Tech
查看我們對廣東冠豪高科技的最新分析
How Much Debt Does Guangdong Guanhao High-Tech Carry?
廣東冠豪高科揹負了多少債務?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Guangdong Guanhao High-Tech had debt of CN¥2.21b, up from CN¥991.8m in one year. However, it also had CN¥1.52b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥684.3m.
您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2023年9月,廣東冠豪高科的債務爲22.1億元人民幣,高於一年的9.9180億元人民幣。但是,它也有152億加元的現金,因此其淨負債爲6.843億元人民幣。
How Healthy Is Guangdong Guanhao High-Tech's Balance Sheet?
廣東冠豪高科的資產負債表有多健康?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Guangdong Guanhao High-Tech had liabilities of CN¥3.66b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥668.5m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.52b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.68b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥1.13b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
根據上次報告的資產負債表,廣東冠豪高科的負債爲36.6億元人民幣,12個月後到期的負債爲6.685億元人民幣。除這些債務外,它有152億元人民幣的現金以及價值16.8億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總額高出11.3億元人民幣。
Given Guangdong Guanhao High-Tech has a market capitalization of CN¥5.77b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Guangdong Guanhao High-Tech's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
鑑於廣東冠豪高科的市值爲577億元人民幣,很難相信這些負債會構成很大的威脅。但是,我們確實認爲值得關注其資產負債表的實力,因爲它可能會隨着時間的推移而發生變化。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,未來的收益比什麼都重要,將決定廣東冠豪高科未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。
In the last year Guangdong Guanhao High-Tech wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 40%, to CN¥7.6b. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.
去年,廣東冠豪高科在息稅前利潤水平上沒有盈利,但其收入增長了40%,達到76億元人民幣。股東們可能對它能夠實現盈利抱有疑慮。
Caveat Emptor
Caveat Emptor
While we can certainly appreciate Guangdong Guanhao High-Tech's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Indeed, it lost CN¥140m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥549m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Guangdong Guanhao High-Tech (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.
儘管我們當然可以理解廣東冠豪高科的收入增長,但其息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損並不理想。事實上,它在息稅前利潤水平上損失了1.4億元人民幣。當我們審視這一點並回顧其資產負債表上相對於現金的負債時,對我們來說,公司有任何債務似乎是不明智的。坦率地說,我們認爲資產負債表遠非匹配,儘管可以隨着時間的推移而改善。另一個需要謹慎的原因是,在過去的十二個月中,自由現金流爲負5.49億元人民幣。因此,簡而言之,這是一隻非常有風險的股票。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,我們已經爲廣東冠豪高科確定了兩個警告標誌(其中一個有點不愉快),你應該注意。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。
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