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Sieyuan Electric Co., Ltd. Just Missed EPS By 6.2%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Sieyuan Electric Co., Ltd. Just Missed EPS By 6.2%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

思源電氣有限公司剛剛未達到每股收益6.2%:這是分析師認爲接下來會發生的事情
Simply Wall St ·  01/20 19:38

The analysts might have been a bit too bullish on Sieyuan Electric Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002028), given that the company fell short of expectations when it released its yearly results last week. Sieyuan Electric missed analyst forecasts, with revenues of CN¥12b and statutory earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥2.00, falling short by 4.9% and 6.2% respectively. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

分析師可能過於看好思源電氣有限公司(SZSE:002028),因爲該公司在上週發佈年度業績時未達到預期。思源電氣未達到分析師的預期,收入爲120億元人民幣,法定每股收益(EPS)爲2.00元人民幣,分別下降4.9%和6.2%。對於投資者來說,這是一個重要時刻,因爲他們可以在報告中追蹤公司的業績,看看專家對明年的預測,看看對該業務的預期是否有任何變化。我們認爲,讀者會發現分析師對明年最新(法定)業績後的預測很有趣。

View our latest analysis for Sieyuan Electric

查看我們對思源電氣的最新分析

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:002028 Earnings and Revenue Growth January 21st 2024
SZSE: 002028 收益和收入增長 2024 年 1 月 21 日

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Sieyuan Electric from ten analysts is for revenues of CN¥16.0b in 2024. If met, it would imply a sizeable 29% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to shoot up 34% to CN¥2.68. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥16.0b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥2.67 in 2024. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

考慮到最新業績,十位分析師對思源電氣的最新共識是,2024年的收入爲160億元人民幣。如果得到滿足,這意味着其收入在過去12個月中將大幅增長29%。預計每股收益將飆升34%,至2.68元人民幣。在本業績發佈之前,分析師一直預測2024年的收入爲160億元人民幣,每股收益(EPS)爲2.67元人民幣。鑑於他們的估計沒有重大變化,共識分析師似乎沒有在這些結果中看到任何會改變他們對業務看法的內容。

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at CN¥59.31. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. There are some variant perceptions on Sieyuan Electric, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥62.00 and the most bearish at CN¥55.00 per share. The narrow spread of estimates could suggest that the business' future is relatively easy to value, or thatthe analysts have a strong view on its prospects.

因此,得知共識目標股價基本維持在59.31元人民幣也就不足爲奇了。但是,還有另一種思考價格目標的方法,那就是研究分析師提出的價格目標範圍,因爲範圍廣泛的估計可能表明,對業務可能的結果有不同的看法。對世源電氣的看法有所不同,最看漲的分析師將其估值爲62.00元人民幣,最看跌的爲每股55.00元人民幣。估計值的狹窄差異可能表明該業務的未來相對容易估值,或者分析師對其前景有強烈的看法。

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. The analysts are definitely expecting Sieyuan Electric's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 29% annualised growth to the end of 2024 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 18% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 20% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Sieyuan Electric is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

當然,看待這些預測的另一種方法是將它們與行業本身聯繫起來。分析師們肯定預計,思源電氣的增長將加速,預計到2024年底的年化增長率爲29%,而過去五年的歷史年增長率爲18%。相比之下,我們的數據表明,預計類似行業的其他公司(有分析師報道)的收入將以每年20%的速度增長。考慮到收入增長的預測,很明顯,協源電氣的增長速度預計將比其行業快得多。

The Bottom Line

底線

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at CN¥59.31, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

要了解的最重要的一點是,市場情緒沒有重大變化,分析師再次確認該業務的表現符合他們先前的每股收益預期。令人高興的是,收入預測沒有重大變化,預計該業務的增長速度仍將快於整個行業。共識目標股價穩定在59.31元人民幣,最新估計不足以對其目標股價產生影響。

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have forecasts for Sieyuan Electric going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

根據這種思路,我們認爲該業務的長期前景比明年的收益重要得多。我們對思源電氣的預測將持續到2026年,你可以在我們的平台上免費查看。

However, before you get too enthused, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Sieyuan Electric that you should be aware of.

但是,在你變得太熱情之前,我們已經發現了思源電氣的1個警告標誌,你應該注意這一點。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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