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Stock Market's 'Once-In-A-Generation' Opportunity Is Near, Says Bernstein Analyst: 'You Are Going To See A Bear Market'

Stock Market's 'Once-In-A-Generation' Opportunity Is Near, Says Bernstein Analyst: 'You Are Going To See A Bear Market'

伯恩斯坦分析師表示,股市的 “千載難逢的機會” 即將來臨:“你會看到熊市”
Benzinga ·  01/21 21:45

The stock market is showing signs of a forthcoming investment opportunity, according to a recent report by Richard Bernstein Advisors (RBA). The firm's deputy CIO, Dan Suzuki, believes that the current market signals could lead to a significant shift in investment dynamics.

根據理查德·伯恩斯坦顧問公司(RBA)最近的一份報告,股市顯示出投資機會即將到來的跡象。該公司的副首席信息官丹·鈴木認爲,當前的市場信號可能導致投資動態的重大轉變。

What Happened: Richard Bernstein Advisors (RBA) has been signaling a potential investment opportunity amidst concerning signs in the stock market, reported Business Insider. The firm has been predicting a "once-in-a-generation" opportunity for months, and it appears to be on the verge of realization.

發生了什麼:據《商業內幕》報道,在股市出現令人擔憂的跡象中,理查德·伯恩斯坦顧問公司(RBA)一直在暗示潛在的投資機會。幾個月來,該公司一直在預測 “千載難逢的” 機會,而且這一機會似乎已接近實現。

According to RBA's Deputy CIO Dan Suzuki, the market's current situation, particularly the dominance of a few stocks, could lead to a broader market shift. The firm's thesis, proposed at the end of last year, suggests that the extraordinary market leadership of a small group of stocks will expand to the wider market, resulting in stronger gains for the other 493 S&P 500 stocks.

根據澳洲聯儲副首席信息官丹·鈴木的說法,市場目前的情況,尤其是少數股票的主導地位,可能會導致更廣泛的市場轉移。該公司在去年年底提出的論點表明,一小部分股票的非凡市場領導地位將擴展到更廣泛的市場,從而使其他493只標準普爾500指數股票的漲幅更大。

However, Suzuki warned that the corporate earnings of major tech companies are expected to decelerate in the next quarter. Only three of the so-called "Magnificent Seven" — Apple Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL), Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL), Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ:AMZN), NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA), and Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META)— are projected to have over 25% earnings growth in 2024.

但是,鈴木警告說,大型科技公司的企業收益預計將在下一季度減速。所謂的 “壯麗七人組” 中只有三個——蘋果公司(納斯達克股票代碼:AAPL)、微軟公司(納斯達克股票代碼:MSFT)、Alphabet Inc(納斯達克股票代碼:GOOG)(納斯達克股票代碼:GOOG)、亞馬遜公司(納斯達克股票代碼:AMZN)、NVIDIA(納斯達克股票代碼:NVDA)、特斯拉公司(納斯達克股票代碼:TSLA)和Meta Platforms Inc(納斯達克股票代碼:TSLA)和 Meta Platforms Inc(納斯達克股票代碼:MSLA)(納斯達克股票代碼:TSLA)META)——預計到2024年,收益增長將超過25%。

"I think eventually you are going to see a bear market," Suzuki said of large-cap tech stocks in an interview with Bloomberg on Friday.

鈴木週五在接受彭博社採訪時談到大型科技股時說:“我認爲最終你會看到熊市。”

"I've gone so far as to say that I think this is a bubble, and I don't use that term lightly. So eventually that suggests that there's going to be a reckoning."

“我甚至說我認爲這是一個泡沫,我不會輕易使用這個詞。因此,最終這表明將要進行清算。”

On the other hand, sectors like small caps, industrials, energy, and emerging markets are expected to see an acceleration in earnings in the coming year. This, combined with extreme valuations and investor concentration in mega-cap tech firms, could lead to a market shift away from these stocks.

另一方面,預計小盤股、工業、能源和新興市場等板塊的收益將在來年加速。再加上極端的估值和投資者對大型科技公司的集中度,可能導致市場從這些股票轉移出去。

Why It Matters: The market's focus on tech stocks, particularly the "Magnificent Seven," has been a recurring theme. Despite warnings of a possible correction, institutional investors have been backing further gains for these stocks as the most crowded trade, according to a Bank of America survey.

爲何重要:市場對科技股的關注,特別是 “科技七巨頭”,一直是一個反覆出現的主題。美國銀行的一項調查顯示,儘管有人警告可能出現修正,但機構投資者一直在支持這些股票作爲最擁擠的交易進一步上漲。

However, analysts have been cautioning about the extreme concentration in these stocks in hedge fund portfolios. This concentration has doubled since the beginning of 2023, raising concerns about the potential impact of a correction in these stocks.

但是,分析師一直在警告對沖基金投資組合中這些股票的過度集中。自2023年初以來,這種集中度翻了一番,引發了人們對這些股票調整的潛在影響的擔憂。

Meanwhile, CNBC's Jim Cramer has also predicted a possible sector rotation away from the Magnificent Seven stocks, suggesting that investors may move away from these leading tech stocks to invest in sectors that have experienced significant declines.

同時,CNBC的吉姆·克萊默還預測,板塊可能會從科技七巨頭股轉向股票,這表明投資者可能會離開這些領先的科技股,轉而投資經歷大幅下跌的行業。

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