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Is Sanquan Food (SZSE:002216) A Risky Investment?

Is Sanquan Food (SZSE:002216) A Risky Investment?

三全食品(深圳證券交易所:002216)是風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  01/22 19:39

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Sanquan Food Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002216) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。我們可以看到,三全食品有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002216)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但更重要的問題是:債務創造了多大的風險?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務可以爲企業提供幫助,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法償還債權人,它可能會破產。但是,更頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。當然,債務的好處在於,它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它取代一家有能力以高回報率進行再投資的公司的稀釋時。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事就是綜合考慮其現金和債務。

See our latest analysis for Sanquan Food

查看我們對三全食品的最新分析

How Much Debt Does Sanquan Food Carry?

三全食品揹負了多少債務?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Sanquan Food had CN¥250.1m of debt, up from CN¥150.1m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But on the other hand it also has CN¥1.54b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.29b net cash position.

如下所示,截至2023年9月底,三全食品的債務爲2.501億元人民幣,高於去年同期的1.501億元人民幣。點擊圖片查看更多細節。但另一方面,它也有15.4億元人民幣的現金,淨現金狀況爲12.9億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002216 Debt to Equity History January 23rd 2024
SZSE: 002216 2024 年 1 月 23 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

How Healthy Is Sanquan Food's Balance Sheet?

三全食品的資產負債表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Sanquan Food had liabilities of CN¥2.56b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥256.0m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.54b as well as receivables valued at CN¥589.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥679.3m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,三全食品在12個月內到期的負債爲25.6億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲2.56億元人民幣。除這些債務外,它有15.4億元人民幣的現金以及價值5.89億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總額高出6.793億元人民幣。

Since publicly traded Sanquan Food shares are worth a total of CN¥10.7b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Sanquan Food boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

由於公開交易的三全食品股票總價值爲107億元人民幣,因此這種負債水平似乎不太可能構成重大威脅。但是,我們確實認爲值得關注其資產負債表的實力,因爲它可能會隨着時間的推移而發生變化。儘管負債可觀,但三全食品擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

Sanquan Food's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year, but that shouldn't be an issue given the it doesn't have a lot of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Sanquan Food can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

去年,三全食品的息稅前利潤相當平穩,但鑑於它沒有大量債務,這應該不是問題。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定三全食品能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Sanquan Food has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Sanquan Food recorded free cash flow worth 69% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最後,儘管稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。儘管三全食品的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。在最近三年中,三全食品錄得的自由現金流佔其息稅前利潤的69%,鑑於自由現金流不包括利息和稅收,這幾乎是正常的。這種自由現金流使公司處於有利地位,可以在適當的時候償還債務。

Summing Up

總結

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Sanquan Food has CN¥1.29b in net cash. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥268m, being 69% of its EBIT. So we don't think Sanquan Food's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Sanquan Food is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is significant...

儘管查看公司的總負債總是明智的,但令人欣慰的是,三全食品的淨現金爲12.9億元人民幣。它以2.68億元人民幣的自由現金流給我們留下了深刻的印象,佔其息稅前利潤的69%。因此,我們認爲三全食品使用債務沒有風險。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。請注意,三全食品在我們的投資分析中顯示出兩個警告信號,其中一個信號意義重大...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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