Does Xinxiang Chemical Fiber (SZSE:000949) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Does Xinxiang Chemical Fiber (SZSE:000949) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000949) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
大衛·伊本說得好,他說:“波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。我們可以看到,新鄉化纖有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:000949)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務會帶來什麼風險?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或利用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能一無所有地離開。但是,更頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。當然,債務的好處是它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它用高回報率進行再投資的能力取代了公司的稀釋時。當我們考慮公司對債務的使用時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務。
Check out our latest analysis for Xinxiang Chemical Fiber
查看我們對新鄉化纖的最新分析
What Is Xinxiang Chemical Fiber's Net Debt?
新鄉化纖的淨負債是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Xinxiang Chemical Fiber had CN¥4.45b of debt, an increase on CN¥4.00b, over one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥1.47b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥2.98b.
你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2023年9月,新鄉化纖在一年內有44.5億元人民幣的債務,比4.00億元人民幣有所增加。另一方面,它擁有14.7億元的現金,淨負債約爲29.8億元人民幣。
How Strong Is Xinxiang Chemical Fiber's Balance Sheet?
新鄉化纖的資產負債表有多強?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Xinxiang Chemical Fiber had liabilities of CN¥3.13b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥3.27b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.47b in cash and CN¥1.36b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥3.57b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,新鄉化纖的負債爲31.3億元人民幣,一年後到期的負債爲32.7億元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有14.7億元的現金和13.6億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總額高出35.7億元人民幣。
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CN¥4.14b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Xinxiang Chemical Fiber will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
相對於其41.4億元人民幣的市值,這是一座巨大的槓桿率。如果其貸款人要求其支撐資產負債表,股東可能會面臨嚴重的稀釋。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲新鄉化纖需要收益來償還債務。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。
Over 12 months, Xinxiang Chemical Fiber made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥7.1b, which is a fall of 13%. That's not what we would hope to see.
在過去的12個月中,新鄉化纖在息稅前利潤水平上出現虧損,收入降至71億元人民幣,下降了13%。這不是我們希望看到的。
Caveat Emptor
Caveat Emptor
While Xinxiang Chemical Fiber's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost CN¥109m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CN¥408m of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Xinxiang Chemical Fiber .
儘管新鄉化纖收入的下降就像開玩笑一樣令人心動,但可以說,其息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損的吸引力更小。事實上,它在息稅前利潤水平上損失了1.09億元人民幣。考慮到除了上述負債外,我們對公司應該使用如此多的債務沒有太大的信心。坦率地說,我們認爲資產負債表遠非匹配,儘管可以隨着時間的推移而改善。但是,去年它消耗了4.08億加元的現金,這無濟於事。因此,簡而言之,這是一隻非常有風險的股票。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。爲此,你應該注意我們在新鄉化纖中發現的兩個警告信號。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼請立即查看我們的獨家淨現金增長股票清單。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。