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Shareholders in Zhejiang Jihua Group (SHSE:603980) Have Lost 43%, as Stock Drops 11% This Past Week

Shareholders in Zhejiang Jihua Group (SHSE:603980) Have Lost 43%, as Stock Drops 11% This Past Week

浙江際華集團(SHSE: 603980)的股東下跌了43%,上週股價下跌了11%
Simply Wall St ·  01/23 19:00

For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But even the best stock picker will only win with some selections. So we wouldn't blame long term Zhejiang Jihua Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603980) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 52% over a half decade. And the share price decline continued over the last week, dropping some 11%. However, this move may have been influenced by the broader market, which fell 6.3% in that time.

對於許多人來說,投資的主要目的是產生比整個市場更高的回報。但是,即使是最好的選股者也只能通過以下方式獲勝 一些 選擇。因此,我們不會指責浙江際華集團有限公司(SHSE: 603980)的長期股東懷疑他們的持股決定,該股在五年內下跌了52%。上週股價繼續下跌,下跌了約11%。但是,這一舉動可能受到大盤的影響,當時大盤下跌了6.3%。

Since Zhejiang Jihua Group has shed CN¥371m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.

由於浙江際華集團在過去7天內已從其市值減少了3.71億元人民幣,讓我們看看長期下跌是否是由該企業的經濟推動的。

See our latest analysis for Zhejiang Jihua Group

查看我們對浙江際華集團的最新分析

Given that Zhejiang Jihua Group didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.

鑑於浙江際華集團在過去十二個月中沒有盈利,我們將專注於收入增長,以快速了解其業務發展。一般而言,沒有利潤的公司預計每年收入將增長,而且速度很快。可以想象,收入的快速增長如果持續下去,通常會帶來利潤的快速增長。

In the last five years Zhejiang Jihua Group saw its revenue shrink by 10% per year. That puts it in an unattractive cohort, to put it mildly. It seems appropriate, then, that the share price slid about 9% annually during that time. We don't generally like to own companies that lose money and don't grow revenues. You might be better off spending your money on a leisure activity. You'd want to research this company pretty thoroughly before buying, it looks a bit too risky for us.

在過去的五年中,浙江際華集團的收入每年萎縮10%。客氣地說,這使它成爲一個沒有吸引力的群體。因此,在此期間,股價每年下跌約9%似乎是恰當的。我們通常不喜歡擁有虧損且收入不增長的公司。你最好把錢花在休閒活動上。在收購之前,你需要對這家公司進行徹底的研究,這對我們來說看起來有點太冒險了。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(一段時間內)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:603980 Earnings and Revenue Growth January 24th 2024
SHSE: 603980 收益和收入增長 2024 年 1 月 24 日

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

您可以在這張免費的交互式圖片中看到其資產負債表如何隨着時間的推移而增強(或減弱)。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Zhejiang Jihua Group, it has a TSR of -43% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。儘管股價回報率僅反映股價的變化,但股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設已進行再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。以浙江際華集團爲例,過去5年的股東總回報率爲-43%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While it's never nice to take a loss, Zhejiang Jihua Group shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 11% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 21%. Given the total loss of 7% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Zhejiang Jihua Group .

儘管虧損從來都不是一件好事,但浙江際華集團的股東可以放心,包括股息在內,他們過去十二個月的11%虧損沒有市場損失約21%的那麼嚴重。鑑於五年來每年的總損失爲7%,在過去的十二個月中,回報似乎有所惡化。儘管一些投資者在專門收購陷入困境(但仍被低估)的公司方面表現良好,但不要忘記巴菲特說過 “轉機很少會轉機”。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。爲此,你應該注意我們在浙江際華集團發現的兩個警告信號。

But note: Zhejiang Jihua Group may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但請注意:浙江際華集團可能不是最值得買入的股票。因此,來看看這份過去盈利增長(以及進一步增長預測)的有趣公司的免費清單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報率。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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