Dazhong Transportation (Group) (SHSE:600611) Earnings and Shareholder Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for the Last Five Years, but the Stock Lifts 6.3% This Past Week
Dazhong Transportation (Group) (SHSE:600611) Earnings and Shareholder Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for the Last Five Years, but the Stock Lifts 6.3% This Past Week
Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But even the best stock picker will only win with some selections. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Dazhong Transportation (Group) Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600611), since the last five years saw the share price fall 24%. On the other hand the share price has bounced 6.3% over the last week.
理想情況下,您的整體投資組合應超過市場平均水平。但是,即使是最好的選股者也只能通過以下方式獲勝 一些 選擇。目前,一些股東可能會質疑他們對大衆運輸(集團)有限公司(SHSE: 600611)的投資,因爲在過去五年中,股價下跌了24%。另一方面,股價在上週反彈了6.3%。
On a more encouraging note the company has added CN¥410m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the five-year loss for shareholders.
更令人鼓舞的是,該公司的市值在過去的7天內就增加了4.1億元人民幣,所以讓我們看看我們能否確定是什麼推動了股東五年的虧損。
Check out our latest analysis for Dazhong Transportation (Group)
查看我們對大衆交通(集團)的最新分析
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
儘管一些人繼續教導高效市場假說,但事實證明,市場是反應過度的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。評估公司情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。
During five years of share price growth, Dazhong Transportation (Group) moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. Other metrics may better explain the share price move.
在五年的股價增長中,大衆運輸(集團)從虧損轉爲盈利。這通常會被視爲利好,因此我們驚訝地看到股價下跌。其他指標可以更好地解釋股價走勢。
The modest 1.0% dividend yield is unlikely to be guiding the market view of the stock. Arguably, the revenue drop of 6.0% a year for half a decade suggests that the company can't grow in the long term. That could explain the weak share price.
1.0%的適度股息收益率不太可能指導該股的市場觀點。可以說,在過去的五年中,收入每年下降6.0%,這表明該公司無法長期增長。這可以解釋股價疲軟的原因。
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
您可以在下面看到收入和收入如何隨着時間的推移而變化(點擊圖片了解確切的值)。
Take a more thorough look at Dazhong Transportation (Group)'s financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.
通過這份免費的資產負債表報告,更全面地了解大衆交通(集團)的財務狀況。
What About Dividends?
分紅呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Dazhong Transportation (Group), it has a TSR of -18% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。儘管股價回報率僅反映股價的變化,但股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設已進行再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。就大衆交通(集團)而言,其過去5年的股東總回報率爲-18%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
While it's certainly disappointing to see that Dazhong Transportation (Group) shares lost 7.0% throughout the year, that wasn't as bad as the market loss of 17%. Given the total loss of 3% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Dazhong Transportation (Group) better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Dazhong Transportation (Group) (1 doesn't sit too well with us) that you should be aware of.
儘管看到大衆運輸(集團)的股價全年下跌7.0%肯定令人失望,但這還不如17%的市場跌幅那麼糟糕。鑑於五年內每年的總損失爲3%,在過去的十二個月中,回報率似乎有所下降。儘管一些投資者在專門收購陷入困境(但仍被低估)的公司方面表現良好,但不要忘記巴菲特說過 “轉機很少會轉機”。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,要更好地了解大衆交通(集團),我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,我們已經確定了大衆交通(集團)的3個警告標誌(其中一個不太適合我們),你應該注意這些標誌。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果你想看看另一家公司——一家財務狀況可能優異的公司——那麼千萬不要錯過這份已經證明自己可以增加收益的公司的免費名單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。