Is Gree Real EstateLtd (SHSE:600185) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Gree Real EstateLtd (SHSE:600185) Using Too Much Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Gree Real Estate Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600185) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
傳奇基金經理李璐(受查理·芒格支持)曾說:“最大的投資風險不在於價格的波動,而在於你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當你考察一家公司的風險時,考慮到債務通常是一家企業崩潰的原因之一,因此考慮一家公司的資產負債表是再自然不過的了。重要的是,格力地產股份有限公司(SHSE:600185)確實有負債。但更重要的問題是:這些負債創造了多少風險?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什麼時候負債才是一個問題?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
一般來說,當一家公司無法通過籌集資本或自有現金流輕鬆償還債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。最糟糕的情況是,一家公司無法償還其債權人的債務,會破產。不過,更普遍的(但仍然痛苦的)情況是,一家公司不得不以低價發行新的股權資本,從而永久地稀釋股東。話雖如此,最普遍的情況是一家公司合理管理其債務,並且從中受益。在考慮一家企業使用了多少債務時,要做的第一件事是查看其現金和債務的總和。
Check out our latest analysis for Gree Real EstateLtd
查看我們針對格力地產股份有限公司的最新分析
What Is Gree Real EstateLtd's Debt?
格力地產股份有限公司的債務是什麼?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Gree Real EstateLtd had CN¥13.2b of debt in September 2023, down from CN¥17.8b, one year before. On the flip side, it has CN¥1.90b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥11.3b.
你可以點擊下面的圖表查看歷史數據,但它顯示,格力地產股份有限公司在2023年9月有132億元人民幣的債務,比一年前的178億元人民幣少。反過來,它有19億元人民幣的現金,從而導致淨債務約爲113億元人民幣。
A Look At Gree Real EstateLtd's Liabilities
看一下格力地產股份有限公司的負債
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Gree Real EstateLtd had liabilities of CN¥15.4b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥7.27b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.90b and CN¥298.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥20.4b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
進一步查看最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,格力地產股份有限公司有154億元人民幣的負債將在12個月內到期,還有72.7億元人民幣的負債將在12個月後到期。另一方面,它有19億元人民幣的現金和2.981億元人民幣的短期應收賬款。所以,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和多204億元人民幣。
This deficit casts a shadow over the CN¥12.4b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Gree Real EstateLtd would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Gree Real EstateLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
這種赤字會像巨人般屹立於124億元人民幣的公司上,投下一片陰影。所以我們無疑要密切關注它的資產負債表。最後,如果債權人要求償還,格力地產股份有限公司可能需要進行重大的再資本化。分析債務水平時,資產負債表是明顯的關注領域。但是,不是所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中 - 遠非如此。這些風險很難發現。每個公司都有風險,我們已經發現格力地產股份有限公司的4個警告信號(其中有1個不能忽略!)你應該知道。
In the last year Gree Real EstateLtd wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 7.8%, to CN¥4.0b. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.
在過去一年中,格力地產股份有限公司在EBIT水平上沒有盈利,但其營業收入增長了7.8%,達到40億元人民幣。我們通常希望看到不盈利公司的更快增長,但每個公司都是不同的。
Caveat Emptor
買方自負。
Importantly, Gree Real EstateLtd had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost a very considerable CN¥1.6b at the EBIT level. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of CN¥3.2b. And until that time we think this is a risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Gree Real EstateLtd (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.
重要的是,格力地產股份有限公司去年在EBIT水平上出現虧損。事實上,它在EBIT水平上虧損了非常可觀的16億元人民幣。當我們將其與巨大的負債放在一起考慮時,我們對這家公司並不特別有信心。在我們感到對該股票產生太大興趣之前,我們需要看到一些強有力的近期改進。例如,我們不希望看到去年320億元人民幣的虧損再次發生。在此期間,我們認爲這是一隻風險投資股票。資產負債表顯然是分析債務的重點領域。但並不是所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中 - 遠非如此。這些風險很難發現。每個公司都有它們,我們已經發現了格力地產股份有限公司的4個警告信號(其中1個不能忽略!)你應該知道。單擊此處以獲取交互式快照。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果您在所有這些工作之後,更感興趣於擁有堅實資產負債表的快速發展公司,請立即查看我們的淨現金成長股列表。
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