COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong)'s (HKG:517) Three-year Earnings Growth Trails the Notable Shareholder Returns
COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong)'s (HKG:517) Three-year Earnings Growth Trails the Notable Shareholder Returns
By buying an index fund, investors can approximate the average market return. But if you choose individual stocks with prowess, you can make superior returns. For example, the COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) Co., Ltd. (HKG:517) share price is up 42% in the last three years, clearly besting the market decline of around 35% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 40% in the last year , including dividends .
通過購買指數基金,投資者可以估算出平均市場回報率。但是,如果你選擇有實力的個股,你可以獲得豐厚的回報。例如,中遠海運國際(香港)有限公司(HKG: 517)的股價在過去三年中上漲了42%,明顯超過了市場跌幅約35%(不包括股息)。但是,最近的回報並不那麼令人印象深刻,該股去年的回報率僅爲40%,包括股息。
On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.
在連續7天表現穩健的背景下,讓我們來看看公司的基本面在推動長期股東回報方面發揮了什麼作用。
Check out our latest analysis for COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong)
查看我們對中遠海運國際(香港)的最新分析
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
雖然市場是一種強大的定價機制,但股價反映了投資者的情緒,而不僅僅是潛在的業務表現。考慮市場對公司的看法發生了怎樣的變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。
During three years of share price growth, COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) achieved compound earnings per share growth of 20% per year. The average annual share price increase of 12% is actually lower than the EPS growth. So it seems investors have become more cautious about the company, over time. We'd venture the lowish P/E ratio of 9.52 also reflects the negative sentiment around the stock.
在三年的股價增長中,中遠海運國際(香港)實現了每年20%的複合每股收益增長。12%的平均年股價漲幅實際上低於每股收益的增長。因此,隨着時間的推移,投資者似乎對該公司變得更加謹慎了。我們認爲,9.52的低市盈率也反映了該股的負面情緒。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下圖描述了 EPS 隨着時間的推移是如何變化的(點擊圖片可以看到確切的值)。
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
在買入或賣出股票之前,我們始終建議仔細研究歷史增長趨勢,可在此處查閱。
What About Dividends?
分紅呢?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) the TSR over the last 3 years was 92%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。基於股息再投資的假設,股東總回報率納入了任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。我們注意到,中遠海運國際(香港)過去3年的股東總回報率爲92%,好於上述股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
It's good to see that COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 40% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 13% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) that you should be aware of.
很高興看到中遠海運國際(香港)在過去十二個月中向股東提供了40%的總股東回報率。這確實包括股息。這比五年來13%的年化回報率要好,這意味着該公司最近的表現更好。在最好的情況下,這可能暗示着一些真正的業務勢頭,這意味着現在可能是深入研究的好時機。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,我們已經確定了中遠海運國際(香港)的1個警告標誌,你應該注意這一點。
But note: COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但請注意:中遠海運國際(香港)可能不是最好的買入股票。因此,來看看這份過去盈利增長(以及進一步增長預測)的有趣公司的免費清單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。