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Positive Earnings Growth Hasn't Been Enough to Get Jiangsu Suzhou Rural Commercial Bank (SHSE:603323) Shareholders a Favorable Return Over the Last Five Years

Positive Earnings Growth Hasn't Been Enough to Get Jiangsu Suzhou Rural Commercial Bank (SHSE:603323) Shareholders a Favorable Return Over the Last Five Years

在過去五年中,正收益增長不足以讓江蘇蘇州農村商業銀行(SHSE: 603323)股東獲得豐厚的回報
Simply Wall St ·  01/29 18:16

For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Jiangsu Suzhou Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd (SHSE:603323), since the last five years saw the share price fall 27%.

對於許多人來說,投資的要點是產生比整個市場更高的回報。但主要的遊戲是找到足夠的贏家來抵消輸家。此時,一些股東可能會質疑他們對江蘇蘇州農村商業銀行股份有限公司(SHSE: 603323)的投資,因爲過去五年股價下跌了27%。

While the stock has risen 4.7% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.

儘管該股在過去一週上漲了4.7%,但長期股東仍處於虧損狀態,但讓我們看看基本面能告訴我們什麼。

Check out our latest analysis for Jiangsu Suzhou Rural Commercial Bank

查看我們對江蘇蘇州農村商業銀行的最新分析

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

儘管一些人繼續教導高效市場假說,但事實證明,市場是反應過度的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。研究市場情緒如何隨着時間的推移而變化的一種方法是研究公司股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。

While the share price declined over five years, Jiangsu Suzhou Rural Commercial Bank actually managed to increase EPS by an average of 13% per year. So it doesn't seem like EPS is a great guide to understanding how the market is valuing the stock. Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

儘管股價在五年內下跌,但江蘇蘇州農村商業銀行實際上設法做到了 增加 每股收益平均每年增長13%。因此,每股收益似乎不是了解市場如何估值股票的好指南。或者,過去的增長預期可能不合理。

Due to the lack of correlation between the EPS growth and the falling share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics to try to understand the share price movement.

由於每股收益增長與股價下跌之間缺乏相關性,值得一看其他指標,以了解股價走勢。

In contrast to the share price, revenue has actually increased by 9.2% a year in the five year period. A more detailed examination of the revenue and earnings may or may not explain why the share price languishes; there could be an opportunity.

與股價形成鮮明對比的是,在五年期間,收入實際上每年增長9.2%。對收入和收益進行更詳細的審查可能會也可能無法解釋股價下跌的原因;可能有機會。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以在下面看到收入和收入如何隨着時間的推移而變化(點擊圖片了解確切的值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:603323 Earnings and Revenue Growth January 29th 2024
SHSE: 603323 收益和收入增長 2024 年 1 月 29 日

We know that Jiangsu Suzhou Rural Commercial Bank has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

我們知道江蘇蘇州農村商業銀行最近提高了利潤,但是未來會發生什麼?因此,我們建議您查看這份顯示共識預測的免費報告

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Jiangsu Suzhou Rural Commercial Bank the TSR over the last 5 years was -15%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮兩者之間的區別 股東總回報 (TSR) 和 股價回報。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。我們注意到,江蘇蘇州農村商業銀行過去5年的股東總回報率爲-15%,好於上述股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While it's never nice to take a loss, Jiangsu Suzhou Rural Commercial Bank shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 5.3% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 18%. Given the total loss of 3% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Jiangsu Suzhou Rural Commercial Bank better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Jiangsu Suzhou Rural Commercial Bank you should know about.

儘管虧損從來都不是一件好事,但江蘇蘇州農村商業銀行的股東可以放心,包括股息在內,他們過去十二個月的5.3%的虧損沒有18%左右的市場虧損那麼嚴重。鑑於五年內每年的總損失爲3%,在過去的十二個月中,回報率似乎有所下降。儘管一些投資者在專門收購陷入困境(但仍被低估)的公司方面表現良好,但不要忘記巴菲特說過 “轉機很少會轉機”。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,要更好地了解江蘇蘇州農村商業銀行,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,考慮風險。每家公司都有它們,我們發現了一個你應該知道的江蘇蘇州農村商業銀行的警告標誌。

We will like Jiangsu Suzhou Rural Commercial Bank better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我們看到一些大規模的內幕收購,我們會更喜歡江蘇蘇州農村商業銀行。在我們等待的同時,請查看這份免費清單,列出了最近有大量內幕收購的成長型公司。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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