Neusoft (SHSE:600718) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?
Neusoft (SHSE:600718) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Neusoft Corporation (SHSE:600718) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
霍華德·馬克斯說得好,他說的不是擔心股價的波動,而是 “永久損失的可能性是我擔心的風險... 也是我認識的每位實際投資者所擔心的風險。”當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們注意到,東軟公司(SHSE: 600718)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時危險?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
債務是幫助企業發展的工具,但是如果企業無法還清貸款人,那麼債務就任其擺佈。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東才能控制債務。但是,通過取代稀釋,對於需要資金以高回報率投資增長的企業來說,債務可能是一個非常好的工具。當我們考慮公司對債務的使用時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務。
See our latest analysis for Neusoft
查看我們對東軟的最新分析
What Is Neusoft's Net Debt?
東軟的淨負債是多少?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Neusoft had CN¥1.08b in debt in September 2023; about the same as the year before. But on the other hand it also has CN¥2.41b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.33b net cash position.
您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳細信息,該圖表顯示,東軟在2023年9月有10.8億元人民幣的債務;與前一年大致相同。但另一方面,它也有24.1億元人民幣的現金,淨現金狀況爲13.3億元人民幣。
A Look At Neusoft's Liabilities
看看東軟的負債
According to the last reported balance sheet, Neusoft had liabilities of CN¥8.52b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.18b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥2.41b in cash and CN¥2.25b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥5.03b.
根據上次報告的資產負債表,東軟的負債爲85.2億元人民幣,12個月後到期的負債爲11.8億元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有24.1億元的現金和22.5億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額50.3億元人民幣。
Neusoft has a market capitalization of CN¥9.75b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Neusoft boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Neusoft can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
東軟的市值爲97.5億元人民幣,因此,如果需要,它很可能會籌集資金以改善其資產負債表。但很明顯,我們一定要仔細研究它能否在不稀釋的情況下管理債務。儘管負債巨大,但東軟擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但最終,該業務的未來盈利能力將決定東軟能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。
In the last year Neusoft wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 13%, to CN¥10b. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.
去年,東軟在息稅前利潤水平上沒有盈利,但成功將其收入增長了13%,達到100億元人民幣。我們通常希望看到無利可圖的公司實現更快的增長,但每家公司都有自己的發展。
So How Risky Is Neusoft?
那麼東軟的風險有多大?
Although Neusoft had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it generated positive free cash flow of CN¥223m. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. Until we see some positive EBIT, we're a bit cautious of the stock, not least because of the rather modest revenue growth. When we look at a riskier company, we like to check how their profits (or losses) are trending over time. Today, we're providing readers this interactive graph showing how Neusoft's profit, revenue, and operating cashflow have changed over the last few years.
儘管東軟在過去十二個月中出現了息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損,但它創造了2.23億元人民幣的正自由現金流。因此,從面值來看,考慮到淨現金狀況,我們認爲該股在短期內風險不大。在我們看到息稅前利潤爲正數之前,我們對該股持謹慎態度,尤其是因爲收入增長相當溫和。當我們研究一家風險較高的公司時,我們喜歡檢查他們的利潤(或虧損)隨着時間的推移而呈現的趨勢。今天,我們向讀者提供這張交互式圖表,顯示東軟的利潤、收入和運營現金流在過去幾年中發生了怎樣的變化。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。
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