These 4 Measures Indicate That Betta Pharmaceuticals (SZSE:300558) Is Using Debt Extensively
These 4 Measures Indicate That Betta Pharmaceuticals (SZSE:300558) Is Using Debt Extensively
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Betta Pharmaceuticals Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300558) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露對此毫不掩飾,他說:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們注意到,貝達製藥有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:300558)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?
When Is Debt A Problem?
債務何時會成爲問題?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
債務是幫助企業發展的工具,但是如果企業無法還清貸款人,那麼債務就任由他們擺佈。歸根結底,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所有地離開。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是它必須以低價籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理債務,這也是爲了自己的利益。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是將現金和債務放在一起考慮。
Check out our latest analysis for Betta Pharmaceuticals
查看我們對貝達製藥的最新分析
What Is Betta Pharmaceuticals's Debt?
貝塔製藥的債務是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Betta Pharmaceuticals had CN¥2.06b of debt, an increase on CN¥984.8m, over one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥694.3m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥1.37b.
你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2023年9月,貝塔製藥在一年內有20.6億元人民幣的債務,比9.848億元人民幣的債務有所增加。另一方面,它擁有6.943億元的現金,淨負債約爲13.7億加元。
How Strong Is Betta Pharmaceuticals' Balance Sheet?
貝塔製藥的資產負債表有多強?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Betta Pharmaceuticals had liabilities of CN¥1.58b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.91b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥694.3m and CN¥553.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥2.24b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,貝塔製藥在12個月內到期的負債爲15.8億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲19.1億元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲6.943億元人民幣,還有價值5.535億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總額高出22.4億元人民幣。
Of course, Betta Pharmaceuticals has a market capitalization of CN¥16.6b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.
當然,貝塔製藥的市值爲166億元人民幣,因此這些負債可能是可以控制的。但是,有足夠的負債,我們肯定會建議股東今後繼續監督資產負債表。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
我們通過以下方法來衡量公司的債務負擔與其盈利能力:將其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),並計算其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)支付利息支出(利息保障)的難易程度。這種方法的優勢在於,我們既考慮了債務的絕對數量(包括淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤),也考慮了與該債務相關的實際利息支出(及其利息覆蓋率)。
While Betta Pharmaceuticals has a quite reasonable net debt to EBITDA multiple of 2.1, its interest cover seems weak, at 1.6. This does suggest the company is paying fairly high interest rates. Either way there's no doubt the stock is using meaningful leverage. Notably, Betta Pharmaceuticals's EBIT launched higher than Elon Musk, gaining a whopping 316% on last year. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Betta Pharmaceuticals can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
儘管貝達製藥的淨負債佔息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的倍數相當合理,爲2.1,但其利息覆蓋面似乎疲軟,爲1.6。這確實表明該公司支付了相當高的利率。無論哪種方式,毫無疑問,該股正在使用有意義的槓桿作用。值得注意的是,貝塔製藥的息稅前利潤高於埃隆·馬斯克,比去年增長了316%。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但最終,該業務的未來盈利能力將決定貝塔製藥能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Betta Pharmaceuticals saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
最後,儘管稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。因此,合乎邏輯的步驟是研究息稅前利潤與實際自由現金流相匹配的比例。在過去的三年中,Betta Pharmicals的自由現金流總額爲負數。儘管投資者無疑預計這種情況將在適當的時候逆轉,但這顯然意味着其使用債務的風險更大。
Our View
我們的觀點
Betta Pharmaceuticals's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and interest cover definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But its EBIT growth rate tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. We think that Betta Pharmaceuticals's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with Betta Pharmaceuticals , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
在我們看來,貝塔製藥將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流和利息保障無疑給其帶來了壓力。但其息稅前利潤增長率卻是一個截然不同的故事,也表明了一定的彈性。綜合考慮上述數據後,我們認爲貝塔製藥的債務確實使其有點風險。並非所有風險都是壞的,因爲如果得到回報,它可以提高股價回報,但是這種債務風險值得牢記。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。我們已經向Betta Pharmicals發現了一個警告信號,了解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼請立即查看我們的獨家淨現金增長股票清單。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。