Jiangxi Firstar Panel Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300256) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 27% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 32% in that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking Jiangxi Firstar Panel TechnologyLtd is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 5.8x, considering almost half the companies in China's Electronic industry have P/S ratios below 3.5x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Jiangxi Firstar Panel TechnologyLtd
How Jiangxi Firstar Panel TechnologyLtd Has Been Performing
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Jiangxi Firstar Panel TechnologyLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Jiangxi Firstar Panel TechnologyLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Jiangxi Firstar Panel TechnologyLtd?
Jiangxi Firstar Panel TechnologyLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 20%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 86% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 60% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's alarming that Jiangxi Firstar Panel TechnologyLtd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What Does Jiangxi Firstar Panel TechnologyLtd's P/S Mean For Investors?
Even after such a strong price drop, Jiangxi Firstar Panel TechnologyLtd's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Jiangxi Firstar Panel TechnologyLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Jiangxi Firstar Panel TechnologyLtd with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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