Sunshine Global Circuits Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300739) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 22% share price drop.
Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Sunshine Global CircuitsLtd's P/E ratio of 29.3x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in China is also close to 29x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
For instance, Sunshine Global CircuitsLtd's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
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Does Growth Match The P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Sunshine Global CircuitsLtd would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 35% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 24% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 42% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that Sunshine Global CircuitsLtd is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
Sunshine Global CircuitsLtd's plummeting stock price has brought its P/E right back to the rest of the market. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Sunshine Global CircuitsLtd currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Sunshine Global CircuitsLtd has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Sunshine Global CircuitsLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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有了這些信息,我們發現Sunshine Global CircuitsLtd的交易市盈率與市場相當相似。看來大多數投資者都忽視了最近的糟糕增長率,並希望公司的業務前景有所好轉。只有最大膽的人才會假設這些價格是可持續的,因爲近期收益趨勢的延續最終可能會壓制股價。
最後一句話
Sunshine Global CircuitsLtd的股價暴跌使其市盈率直接回到了其他市場。通常,我們的傾向是將市盈率的使用限制在確定市場對公司整體健康狀況的看法上。
我們已經確定,Sunshine Global CircuitsLtd目前的市盈率高於預期,因爲其最近的收益在中期內有所下降。當我們看到收益倒退且表現低於市場預期時,我們懷疑股價有下跌的風險,從而使溫和的市盈率走低。如果最近的中期收益趨勢持續下去,將使股東的投資面臨風險,潛在投資者面臨支付不必要的溢價的危險。
你需要時刻注意風險,例如——Sunshine Global CircuitsLtd有兩個我們認爲你應該注意的警告標誌。
如果這些風險讓你重新考慮你對Sunshine Global CircuitsLtd的看法,請瀏覽我們的高質量股票互動清單,了解還有什麼。