Hainan Poly Pharm. Co., Ltd's (SZSE:300630) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 20.7x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 30x and even P/E's above 54x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for Hainan Poly Pharm as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
View our latest analysis for Hainan Poly Pharm
Keen to find out how analysts think Hainan Poly Pharm's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
Hainan Poly Pharm's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 23%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 5.2% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the two analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 41% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 42%, which is not materially different.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Hainan Poly Pharm's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Final Word
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Hainan Poly Pharm currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Hainan Poly Pharm has 3 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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