The Guangdong Insight Brand Marketing Group Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300781) share price has softened a substantial 32% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 52% in the last year.
Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking Guangdong Insight Brand Marketing GroupLtd is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 6.8x, considering almost half the companies in China's Media industry have P/S ratios below 2.5x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
See our latest analysis for Guangdong Insight Brand Marketing GroupLtd
What Does Guangdong Insight Brand Marketing GroupLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For instance, Guangdong Insight Brand Marketing GroupLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Guangdong Insight Brand Marketing GroupLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
Guangdong Insight Brand Marketing GroupLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 11%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 65% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Weighing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 20% shows it's about the same on an annualised basis.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Guangdong Insight Brand Marketing GroupLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Nevertheless, they may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Guangdong Insight Brand Marketing GroupLtd's P/S?
Even after such a strong price drop, Guangdong Insight Brand Marketing GroupLtd's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our look into Guangdong Insight Brand Marketing GroupLtd has shown that it currently trades on a higher than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is only in line with the wider industry forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Guangdong Insight Brand Marketing GroupLtd that you need to take into consideration.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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