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The Three-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management (SZSE:002889) Shareholders as Stock Falls 10% Over the Past Week

The Three-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management (SZSE:002889) Shareholders as Stock Falls 10% Over the Past Week

由於股價在過去一週下跌了10%,三年的收益下降可能會給深圳東峯供應鏈管理(SZSE:002889)的股東造成損失
Simply Wall St ·  01/31 22:26

Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002889) shareholders might understandably be very concerned that the share price has dropped 43% in the last quarter. But that shouldn't obscure the pleasing returns achieved by shareholders over the last three years. After all, the share price is up a market-beating 22% in that time.

深圳東鼎供應鏈管理有限公司(SZSE:002889)的股東可能會非常擔心上個季度股價下跌了43%,這是可以理解的。但這不應掩蓋股東在過去三年中獲得的豐厚回報。畢竟,那段時間股價上漲了22%,超過了市場。

While this past week has detracted from the company's three-year return, let's look at the recent trends of the underlying business and see if the gains have been in alignment.

儘管過去一週減損了該公司的三年回報率,但讓我們來看看基礎業務的最新趨勢,看看漲幅是否一致。

See our latest analysis for Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management

查看我們對深圳東鼎供應鏈管理的最新分析

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:從短期來看,市場是一臺投票機器,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。研究市場情緒如何隨着時間的推移而變化的一種方法是研究公司股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。

Over the last three years, Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management failed to grow earnings per share, which fell 4.9% (annualized).

在過去三年中,深圳東拓供應鏈管理未能增長每股收益,下降了4.9%(按年計算)。

Given the share price resilience, we don't think the (declining) EPS numbers are a good measure of how the business is moving forward, right now. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

鑑於股價的彈性,我們認爲(下降的)每股收益數字並不能很好地衡量業務目前的發展情況。由於每股收益的變化似乎與股價的變化無關,因此值得一看其他指標。

Languishing at just 0.4%, we doubt the dividend is doing much to prop up the share price. The revenue drop of 16% is as underwhelming as some politicians. What's clear is that historic earnings and revenue aren't matching up with the share price action, very well. So you might have to dig deeper to get a grasp of the situation

股息僅爲0.4%,我們懷疑股息是否能在支撐股價方面起到多大作用。收入下降了16%,與一些政客一樣令人難以置信。顯而易見的是,歷史收益和收入與股價走勢不符。因此,你可能需要更深入地挖掘才能了解情況

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下圖中看到收入和收入隨時間推移而發生的變化(點擊圖表查看確切值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:002889 Earnings and Revenue Growth February 1st 2024
SZSE: 002889 收益和收入增長 2024 年 2 月 1 日

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

資產負債表的強度至關重要。可能值得一看我們關於其財務狀況如何隨着時間的推移而變化的免費報告。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management, it has a TSR of 25% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮兩者之間的區別 股東總回報 (TSR) 和 股價回報。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。就深圳東鼎供應鏈管理而言,其過去三年的股東回報率爲25%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。因此,該公司支付的股息提高了 股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

It's good to see that Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 13% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 4%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

很高興看到深圳東鼎供應鏈管理在過去十二個月中向股東提供了13%的總股東回報率。這包括股息。這一增幅好於五年內的年度股東總回報率,即4%。因此,最近公司周圍的情緒似乎一直很樂觀。持樂觀態度的人可能會將最近股東總回報率的改善視爲業務本身隨着時間的推移而變得更好。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。即便如此,請注意,深圳東鼎供應鏈管理在我們的投資分析中顯示了1個警告信號,您應該知道...

But note: Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但請注意:深圳東鼎供應鏈管理可能不是最好的買入股票。因此,來看看這份過去盈利增長(以及進一步增長預測)的有趣公司的免費清單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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