The Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development Co., Ltd (SHSE:600193) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 25%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 42% share price drop.
Even after such a large drop in price, given around half the companies in China's Metals and Mining industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.1x, you may still consider Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development as a stock to avoid entirely with its 8x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development Has Been Performing
For instance, Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 48% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 74% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 16% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's alarming that Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development's P/S?
Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development's shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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