Huasi Holding Company Limited (SZSE:002494) shares have had a horrible month, losing 29% after a relatively good period beforehand. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 26% share price drop.
Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for thinking Huasi Holding is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 4.4x, considering almost half the companies in China's Luxury industry have P/S ratios below 1.7x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
SZSE:002494 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 1st 2024
How Has Huasi Holding Performed Recently?
For example, consider that Huasi Holding's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Huasi Holding, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
Huasi Holding's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 8.2%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 3.1% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 20% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Huasi Holding's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
Even after such a strong price drop, Huasi Holding's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Our examination of Huasi Holding revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Huasi Holding you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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