When close to half the companies in the IT industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.4x, you may consider Bringspring Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300290) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 4.3x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
What Does Bringspring Science and Technology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For instance, Bringspring Science and Technology's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Bringspring Science and Technology will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
Bringspring Science and Technology's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 3.1%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 9.6% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 44% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that Bringspring Science and Technology is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Bringspring Science and Technology currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Bringspring Science and Technology (at least 1 which is significant), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
有了這些信息,我們發現Bringspring Science and Technology的市銷售率高於該行業。顯然,該公司的許多投資者比最近所表示的要看漲得多,他們不願意以任何價格拋售股票。只有最大膽的人才會假設這些價格是可持續的,因爲近期收入趨勢的延續最終可能會嚴重壓制股價。
關鍵要點
僅使用市銷比來確定是否應該出售股票是不明智的,但它可以作爲公司未來前景的實用指南。
我們已經確定,Bringspring Science and Technology目前的市銷率遠高於預期,因爲其最近的收入在中期內有所下降。當我們看到收入倒退且表現低於行業預測時,我們認爲股價下跌的可能性是真實存在的,這使市銷率回到了合理的境地。如果最近的中期收入趨勢繼續下去,這將使股東的投資面臨重大風險,潛在投資者面臨支付過高溢價的危險。
始終有必要考慮永遠存在的投資風險幽靈。我們已經確定了Bringspring Science and Technology的兩個警告信號(至少一個是重要的),了解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。