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Shanghai Jinfeng Wine's (SHSE:600616) Five-year Total Shareholder Returns Outpace the Underlying Earnings Growth

Shanghai Jinfeng Wine's (SHSE:600616) Five-year Total Shareholder Returns Outpace the Underlying Earnings Growth

上海金豐酒業(SHSE: 600616)的五年股東總回報超過了基礎收益增長
Simply Wall St ·  02/01 23:23

While Shanghai Jinfeng Wine Company Limited (SHSE:600616) shareholders are probably generally happy, the stock hasn't had particularly good run recently, with the share price falling 17% in the last quarter. On the bright side the returns have been quite good over the last half decade. Its return of 51% has certainly bested the market return! Unfortunately not all shareholders will have held it for the long term, so spare a thought for those caught in the 31% decline over the last twelve months.

儘管上海金豐酒業有限公司(SHSE: 600616)的股東們可能普遍感到高興,但該股最近的表現並不特別好,上個季度股價下跌了17%。好的一面是,在過去的五年中,回報率一直相當不錯。其51%的回報率無疑超過了市場回報率!不幸的是,並非所有股東都會長揸該股票,因此請多考慮那些在過去十二個月中跌幅爲31%的股東。

Although Shanghai Jinfeng Wine has shed CN¥575m from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.

儘管上海金豐酒業本週的市值下跌了5.75億元人民幣,但讓我們來看看其長期基本面趨勢,看看它們是否推動了回報。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:從短期來看,市場是一臺投票機器,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。考慮市場對公司的看法發生了怎樣的變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。

During the last half decade, Shanghai Jinfeng Wine became profitable. That's generally thought to be a genuine positive, so we would expect to see an increasing share price.

在過去的五年中,上海金豐酒業實現了盈利。人們普遍認爲這是真正的積極因素,因此我們預計股價將上漲。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

該公司的每股收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:600616 Earnings Per Share Growth February 2nd 2024
SHSE: 600616 每股收益增長 2024 年 2 月 2 日

Dive deeper into Shanghai Jinfeng Wine's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Shanghai Jinfeng Wine's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

查看這張上海金豐酒業收益、收入和現金流的互動圖表,深入了解上海金豐酒業的關鍵指標。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Shanghai Jinfeng Wine, it has a TSR of 53% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。儘管股價回報率僅反映股價的變化,但股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設已進行再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。以上海金豐酒業爲例,在過去的5年中,其股東回報率爲53%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

We regret to report that Shanghai Jinfeng Wine shareholders are down 31% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 25%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 9% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Shanghai Jinfeng Wine better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - Shanghai Jinfeng Wine has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

我們遺憾地報告,上海金豐酒業的股東今年下跌了31%(甚至包括股息)。不幸的是,這比整個市場25%的跌幅還要嚴重。但是,可能只是股價受到了更廣泛的市場緊張情緒的影響。如果有很好的機會,可能值得關注基本面。好的一面是,長期股東賺了錢,在過去的五年中,每年增長9%。如果基本面數據繼續顯示長期可持續增長,那麼當前的拋售可能是一個值得考慮的機會。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,要更好地了解上海金豐葡萄酒,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,冒險吧——上海金豐酒業有 1 個我們認爲你應該注意的警告信號。

Of course Shanghai Jinfeng Wine may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

當然,上海金豐酒業可能不是最好的買入股票。因此,您可能希望看到這批免費的成長股。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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