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The Total Return for Ganso (SHSE:603886) Investors Has Risen Faster Than Earnings Growth Over the Last Five Years

The Total Return for Ganso (SHSE:603886) Investors Has Risen Faster Than Earnings Growth Over the Last Five Years

在過去五年中,Ganso(SHSE: 603886)投資者的總回報增長速度超過了收益的增長
Simply Wall St ·  02/02 15:39

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But even the best stock picker will only win with some selections. So we wouldn't blame long term Ganso Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603886) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 18% over a half decade. Furthermore, it's down 15% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders. However, one could argue that the price has been influenced by the general market, which is down 15% in the same timeframe.

爲了證明選擇個股的努力是合理的,值得努力超越市場指數基金的回報。但是,即使是最好的選股者也只能通過以下方式獲勝 一些 選擇。因此,我們不會責怪元素有限公司(SHSE: 603886)的長期股東對他們的持股決定表示懷疑,該股在五年內下跌了18%。此外,它在大約一個季度內下降了15%。對於持有者來說,這並不好玩。但是,有人可能會爭辯說,價格受到了大盤的影響,同期股價下跌了15%。

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

鑑於過去一週對股東來說很艱難,讓我們調查一下基本面,看看我們能學到什麼。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

引用巴菲特的話說:“船隻將在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大差異...”通過比較每股收益(EPS)和一段時間內的股價變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的。

During the unfortunate half decade during which the share price slipped, Ganso actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 0.4% per year. So it doesn't seem like EPS is a great guide to understanding how the market is valuing the stock. Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

在股價下滑的不幸五年中,Ganso的每股收益(EPS)實際上每年增長0.4%。因此,每股收益似乎不是了解市場如何估值股票的好指南。或者,過去的增長預期可能不合理。

Given that EPS has increased, but the share price has fallen, it's fair to say that market sentiment around the stock has become more negative. Generally speaking, though, if the company can keep growing EPS then the share price will eventually follow.

鑑於每股收益增加了,但股價下跌了,可以公平地說,圍繞該股的市場情緒變得更加消極。但是,總的來說,如果公司能夠繼續增長每股收益,那麼股價最終將隨之增長。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖描述了 EPS 隨着時間的推移是如何變化的(點擊圖片可以看到確切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:603886 Earnings Per Share Growth February 2nd 2024
SHSE: 603886 每股收益增長 2024 年 2 月 2 日

This free interactive report on Ganso's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

如果你想進一步調查Ganso的股票,這份關於Ganso收益、收入和現金流的免費互動報告是一個很好的起點。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Ganso the TSR over the last 5 years was 6.1%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。基於股息再投資的假設,股東總回報率納入了任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。我們注意到,對於Ganso而言,過去5年的股東總回報率爲6.1%,好於上述股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

Although it hurts that Ganso returned a loss of 12% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 25%. Of course, the long term returns are far more important and the good news is that over five years, the stock has returned 1.2% for each year. In the best case scenario the last year is just a temporary blip on the journey to a brighter future. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Ganso better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Ganso you should know about.

儘管Ganso在過去十二個月中回報了12%的虧損令人痛心,但整個市場實際上更糟,回報了25%的虧損。當然,長期回報要重要得多,好消息是,在過去的五年中,該股每年的回報率爲1.2%。在最好的情況下,去年只是通往更光明未來之旅中的一個暫時階段。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,爲了更好地理解 Ganso,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,考慮風險。每家公司都有它們,我們發現了一個你應該知道的Ganso警告標誌。

But note: Ganso may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但請注意:Ganso可能不是最值得購買的股票。因此,來看看這份過去盈利增長(以及進一步增長預測)的有趣公司的免費清單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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