Raily Aesthetic Medicine International Holdings Limited (HKG:2135) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 31% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 38% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Raily Aesthetic Medicine International Holdings' P/S ratio of 1.3x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Healthcare industry in Hong Kong is also close to 1.1x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
How Raily Aesthetic Medicine International Holdings Has Been Performing
For example, consider that Raily Aesthetic Medicine International Holdings' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Raily Aesthetic Medicine International Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
Raily Aesthetic Medicine International Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 12% decrease to the company's top line. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 6.3% in total. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 16% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Raily Aesthetic Medicine International Holdings' P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Raily Aesthetic Medicine International Holdings' P/S is back within range of the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Raily Aesthetic Medicine International Holdings revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's hard to accept the current share price as fair value.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Raily Aesthetic Medicine International Holdings (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Raily Aesthetic Medicine International Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
儘管價格穩步反彈,但您對Raily Aestheity Medicine International Holdings的1.3倍市盈率漠不關心仍然是可以原諒的,因爲香港醫療保健行業的中位數(或 “市銷率”)也接近1.1倍。但是,不加解釋地忽略市銷率是不明智的,因爲投資者可能會忽視一個明顯的機會或一個代價高昂的錯誤。
瑞麗美容醫學國際控股的表現如何
例如,假設Raily Aesthetic Medicine International Holdings最近由於收入下降而財務表現不佳。也許投資者認爲最近的收入表現足以與該行業保持一致,這阻止了市銷率的下降。如果不是,那麼現有股東可能會對股價的可行性有些緊張。
儘管沒有分析師對Raily Aesthetic Medicine International Holdings的估計,但請看一下這個免費的數據豐富的可視化圖表,看看該公司的收益、收入和現金流是如何積累的。
收入增長指標告訴我們有關P/S的哪些信息?
Raily Aesthetic Medicine International Holdings的市銷率對於一家預計只會實現適度增長且重要的是表現與行業持平的公司來說是典型的。
考慮到這一點,我們發現有趣的是,Raily Aesthetic Medicine International Holdings的市銷率與業內同行相當。看來大多數投資者都無視近期相當有限的增長率,願意爲股票敞口付出代價。維持這些價格將很難實現,因爲近期收入趨勢的延續最終可能會壓低股價。
關鍵要點
其股價已大幅上漲,現在Raily Aesthetic Medicine International Holdings的市銷率已恢復在行業中位數範圍內。通常,在做出投資決策時,我們謹慎行事,不要過多地考慮市售比率,儘管這可以揭示其他市場參與者對公司的看法。
我們對Raily Aestheuty Medicine International Holdings的審查顯示,其糟糕的三年收入趨勢並未導致市銷率低於我們的預期,因爲這些趨勢看起來比當前的行業前景要差。當我們看到收入疲軟,增長慢於行業增長時,我們懷疑股價有下跌的風險,這使市銷售率恢復了預期。除非最近的中期狀況有所改善,否則很難接受當前的股價作爲公允價值。
那其他風險呢?每家公司都有它們,我們已經發現了Raily Aesthetic Medicine International Holdings的2個警告信號(其中1個有點令人擔憂!)你應該知道。
如果這些風險讓你重新考慮你對Raily Aesthetic Medicine International Holdings的看法,請瀏覽我們的互動式高質量股票清單,了解還有什麼。