The ENC Digital Technology Co., Ltd (SHSE:603869) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 27%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 26% share price drop.
Even after such a large drop in price, there still wouldn't be many who think ENC Digital Technology's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.9x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's IT industry is similar at about 3.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
What Does ENC Digital Technology's Recent Performance Look Like?
For example, consider that ENC Digital Technology's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on ENC Digital Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
ENC Digital Technology's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 29%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 57% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 44% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that ENC Digital Technology's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Following ENC Digital Technology's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We find it unexpected that ENC Digital Technology trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for ENC Digital Technology that you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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有鑑於此,ENC Digital Technology的市銷率與其他大多數公司持平,這有點令人震驚。看來大多數投資者都忽視了最近的糟糕增長率,並希望公司的業務前景有所好轉。只有最大膽的人才會假設這些價格是可持續的,因爲近期收入趨勢的延續最終可能會壓制股價。
關鍵要點
在ENC Digital Technology股價暴跌之後,其市盈率僅保持行業中位數。通常,我們傾向於限制使用市銷比來確定市場對公司整體健康狀況的看法。
我們發現,儘管中期收入下降,但ENC Digital Technology的市銷率卻與該行業其他部門相當,這出乎意料,而整個行業預計將增長。儘管它與行業相匹配,但我們對當前的市銷率感到不舒服,因爲這種慘淡的收入表現不太可能長期支持更積極的情緒。除非近期中期情況有所改善,否則預計公司股東將面臨艱難時期是沒有錯的。