Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Zhejiang Yatai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002370) share price has dived 26% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 37% in that time.
Although its price has dipped substantially, when almost half of the companies in China's Pharmaceuticals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3x, you may still consider Zhejiang Yatai Pharmaceutical as a stock probably not worth researching with its 4.4x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
How Zhejiang Yatai Pharmaceutical Has Been Performing
Zhejiang Yatai Pharmaceutical certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to outperform the wider market, which has seemingly got people interested in the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Zhejiang Yatai Pharmaceutical, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Zhejiang Yatai Pharmaceutical?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Zhejiang Yatai Pharmaceutical's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 33% last year. Revenue has also lifted 28% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 35% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it concerning that Zhejiang Yatai Pharmaceutical is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Zhejiang Yatai Pharmaceutical's P/S
Zhejiang Yatai Pharmaceutical's P/S remain high even after its stock plunged. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Zhejiang Yatai Pharmaceutical revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Zhejiang Yatai Pharmaceutical that we have uncovered.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Zhejiang Yatai Pharmaceutical, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.