Dalian Friendship (Group) Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000679) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 25% in that time.
Although its price has dipped substantially, when almost half of the companies in China's Multiline Retail industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.7x, you may still consider Dalian Friendship (Group) as a stock not worth researching with its 9.7x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
How Has Dalian Friendship (Group) Performed Recently?
For example, consider that Dalian Friendship (Group)'s financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as revenue growth is non-existent. Perhaps the market believes that revenue growth will improve markedly over current levels, inflating the P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Dalian Friendship (Group), take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Dalian Friendship (Group)'s is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. This isn't what shareholders were looking for as it means they've been left with a 49% decline in revenue over the last three years in total. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 73% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's alarming that Dalian Friendship (Group)'s P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
Dalian Friendship (Group)'s shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Dalian Friendship (Group) revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Dalian Friendship (Group) has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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