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Are Shanghai Tianchen Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600620) Fundamentals Good Enough to Warrant Buying Given The Stock's Recent Weakness?

Are Shanghai Tianchen Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600620) Fundamentals Good Enough to Warrant Buying Given The Stock's Recent Weakness?

上海天辰股份有限公司嗎, Ltd (SHSE: 600620) 鑑於該股最近的疲軟,其基本面足以值得買入?
Simply Wall St ·  02/02 19:35

Shanghai TianchenLtd (SHSE:600620) has had a rough three months with its share price down 18%. However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. Specifically, we decided to study Shanghai TianchenLtd's ROE in this article.

上海天辰有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:600620)經歷了艱難的三個月,其股價下跌了18%。但是,該公司的基本面看起來相當不錯,長期財務狀況通常與未來的市場價格走勢一致。具體而言,我們決定在本文中研究上海天辰有限公司的投資回報率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股本回報率或投資回報率是對公司增值和管理投資者資金的有效性的考驗。簡而言之,它衡量公司相對於股東權益的盈利能力。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股本回報率?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回報率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai TianchenLtd is:

因此,根據上述公式,上海天辰有限公司的投資回報率爲:

5.9% = CN¥122m ÷ CN¥2.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

5.9% = 1.22億元人民幣 ÷ 21億元人民幣(基於截至2023年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.06.

“回報” 是過去十二個月的稅後收入。因此,這意味着公司每投資1元人民幣,公司就會產生0.06元人民幣的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長有什麼關係?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率是衡量公司盈利能力的指標。然後,我們能夠評估公司的收益增長潛力,具體取決於公司對這些利潤進行再投資或 “保留” 了多少及其有效性。假設其他一切保持不變,那麼與不一定具有這些特徵的公司相比,投資回報率和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高。

Shanghai TianchenLtd's Earnings Growth And 5.9% ROE

上海天辰有限公司的收益增長和5.9%的投資回報率

On the face of it, Shanghai TianchenLtd's ROE is not much to talk about. Although a closer study shows that the company's ROE is higher than the industry average of 4.7% which we definitely can't overlook. But seeing Shanghai TianchenLtd's five year net income decline of 6.9% over the past five years, we might rethink that. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the shrinking earnings.

從表面上看,上海天辰有限公司的投資回報率沒什麼好談的。儘管一項更仔細的研究表明,該公司的投資回報率高於行業平均水平的4.7%,但我們絕對不能忽視。但是,鑑於上海天辰有限公司在過去五年中五年淨收入下降了6.9%,我們可能會重新考慮這個問題。請記住,該公司的投資回報率一開始有點低,只是高於行業平均水平。因此,這在某種程度上解釋了收益的萎縮。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Shanghai TianchenLtd's earnings seems to be shrinking at a similar rate as the industry which shrunk at a rate of a rate of 6.9% in the same period.

接下來,與行業淨收入增長相比,我們發現上海天辰有限公司的收益萎縮速度似乎與同期該行業的萎縮速度相似,後者以6.9%的速度萎縮。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600620 Past Earnings Growth February 3rd 2024
SHSE: 600620 過去的收益增長 2024 年 2 月 3 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Shanghai TianchenLtd's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

爲公司附加價值的基礎在很大程度上與其收益增長息息相關。對於投資者來說,重要的是要知道市場是否對公司的預期收益增長(或下降)進行了定價。然後,這可以幫助他們確定股票是面向光明還是暗淡的未來。如果你想知道上海天辰有限公司的估值,可以看看這個衡量其與行業相比的市盈率指標。

Is Shanghai TianchenLtd Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

上海天辰股份有限公司是否在有效利用其利潤?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 26% (where it is retaining 74% of its profits), Shanghai TianchenLtd has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

儘管正常的三年派息率中位數爲26%(保留了74%的利潤),但如上所示,上海天辰有限公司的收益卻有所下降。因此,在這方面可能還有其他解釋。例如,該公司的業務可能正在惡化。

Additionally, Shanghai TianchenLtd has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

此外,上海天辰有限公司已經派發了至少十年的股息,這意味着即使收益增長微乎其微,公司的管理層也決心派發股息。

Summary

摘要

On the whole, we do feel that Shanghai TianchenLtd has some positive attributes. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a moderate ROE and and a high reinvestment rate. We believe that there might be some outside factors that could be having a negative impact on the business. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. Our risks dashboard will have the 1 risk we have identified for Shanghai TianchenLtd.

總的來說,我們確實認爲上海天辰有限公司有一些積極的屬性。但是,儘管投資回報率適中,再投資率很高,但我們仍然對收益缺乏增長感到失望。我們認爲,可能會有一些外部因素對業務產生負面影響。雖然我們不會完全解散公司,但我們要做的是努力確定業務的風險,以便在公司周圍做出更明智的決定。我們的風險儀表板將包含我們爲上海天辰股份有限公司確定的第一種風險。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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