share_log

Pulling Back 11% This Week, Ares Commercial Real Estate's NYSE:ACRE) Five-year Decline in Earnings May Be Coming Into Investors Focus

Pulling Back 11% This Week, Ares Commercial Real Estate's NYSE:ACRE) Five-year Decline in Earnings May Be Coming Into Investors Focus

本週Ares商業地產(紐約證券交易所代碼:ACRE)的五年收益下降了11%,這可能會成爲投資者的關注焦點
Simply Wall St ·  02/03 07:41

For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers So we wouldn't blame long term Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (NYSE:ACRE) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 35% over a half decade. The last week also saw the share price slip down another 11%.

對於許多人來說,投資的要點是產生比整個市場更高的回報。但是主要的遊戲是找到足夠的贏家來抵消輸家。因此,我們不會責怪阿瑞斯商業房地產公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:ACRE)的長期股東懷疑他們的持股決定,該股在五年內下跌了35%。上週股價還下跌了11%。

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

鑑於過去一週對股東來說很艱難,讓我們調查一下基本面,看看我們能學到什麼。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:從短期來看,市場是一臺投票機器,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。研究市場情緒如何隨着時間的推移而變化的一種方法是研究公司股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。

During the five years over which the share price declined, Ares Commercial Real Estate's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 45% each year. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 8% compound annual share price fall. The relatively muted share price reaction might be because the market expects the business to turn around. With a P/E ratio of 145.08, it's fair to say the market sees a brighter future for the business.

在股價下跌的五年中,阿瑞斯商業地產的每股收益(EPS)每年下降45%。每股收益的下降比8%的複合年股價下跌還要嚴重。股價反應相對平淡,可能是因爲市場預計業務將好轉。市盈率爲145.08,可以公平地說,市場看到了該業務更光明的未來。

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了 EPS 在一段時間內的跟蹤情況(如果你點擊圖片,你可以看到更多細節)。

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:ACRE Earnings Per Share Growth February 3rd 2024
紐約證券交易所:ACRE 每股收益增長 2024 年 2 月 3 日

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Ares Commercial Real Estate's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

我們很高興地向大家報告,首席執行官的薪酬比資本相似公司的大多數首席執行官要低得多。但是,儘管首席執行官的薪酬總是值得檢查的,但真正重要的問題是公司未來能否增加收益。可能值得一看我們關於阿瑞斯商業地產收益、收入和現金流的免費報告。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Ares Commercial Real Estate's TSR for the last 5 years was 16%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。碰巧的是,Ares商業地產在過去5年的股東總回報率爲16%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。因此,該公司支付的股息提高了 股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While the broader market gained around 19% in the last year, Ares Commercial Real Estate shareholders lost 15% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 3% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Ares Commercial Real Estate is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are significant...

儘管去年整體市場上漲了約19%,但Ares商業地產的股東損失了15%(甚至包括股息)。即使是優質股票的股價有時也會下跌,但我們希望在過於感興趣之前看到企業基本指標的改善。好的一面是,長期股東賺了錢,在過去的五年中,每年增長3%。如果基本面數據繼續顯示長期可持續增長,那麼當前的拋售可能是一個值得考慮的機會。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。即便如此,請注意,在我們的投資分析中,Ares商業地產顯示出5個警告信號,其中2個信號很重要...

But note: Ares Commercial Real Estate may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但請注意:阿瑞斯商業地產可能不是最好的買入股票。因此,來看看這份過去盈利增長(以及進一步增長預測)的有趣公司的免費清單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論