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Elevance Health, Inc.'s (NYSE:ELV) Stock Is Going Strong: Is the Market Following Fundamentals?

Elevance Health, Inc.'s (NYSE:ELV) Stock Is Going Strong: Is the Market Following Fundamentals?

Elevance Health, Inc.s(紐約證券交易所代碼:ELV)股票走強:市場是否遵循基本面?
Simply Wall St ·  02/03 08:56

Elevance Health (NYSE:ELV) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 10% over the last three months. Given that the market rewards strong financials in the long-term, we wonder if that is the case in this instance. In this article, we decided to focus on Elevance Health's ROE.

Elevance Health(紐約證券交易所代碼:ELV)在股票市場上表現良好,其股票在過去三個月中大幅上漲了10%。鑑於從長遠來看,市場會獎勵強勁的財務狀況,我們想知道在這種情況下是否如此。在本文中,我們決定重點關注Elevance Health的投資回報率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

股本回報率或投資回報率是用於評估公司管理層利用公司資本效率的關鍵指標。換句話說,它是衡量公司股東提供的資本回報率的盈利比率。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股本回報率?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回報率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Elevance Health is:

因此,根據上述公式,Elevance Health的投資回報率爲:

15% = US$6.0b ÷ US$39b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

15% = 60億美元 ÷ 390億美元(基於截至2023年12月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.15 in profit.

“回報” 是每年的利潤。另一種看法是,每持有價值1美元的股權,公司就能獲得0.15美元的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長之間有什麼關係?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我們已經確定,投資回報率是衡量公司未來收益的有效盈利指標。現在,我們需要評估公司再投資或 “保留” 了多少利潤以用於未來的增長,從而使我們對公司的增長潛力有所了解。一般而言,在其他條件相同的情況下,股本回報率和利潤留存率高的公司的增長率要高於不具有這些屬性的公司。

Elevance Health's Earnings Growth And 15% ROE

Elevance Health的收益增長和15%的投資回報率

To start with, Elevance Health's ROE looks acceptable. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 11% the company's ROE looks pretty remarkable. This certainly adds some context to Elevance Health's decent 9.5% net income growth seen over the past five years.

首先,Elevance Health的投資回報率看起來可以接受。與11%的行業平均投資回報率相比,該公司的投資回報率看起來相當可觀。這無疑爲Elevance Health在過去五年中實現的9.5%的淨收入增長增添了一些背景信息。

We then performed a comparison between Elevance Health's net income growth with the industry, which revealed that the company's growth is similar to the average industry growth of 8.5% in the same 5-year period.

然後,我們對Elevance Health的淨收入增長與該行業進行了比較,結果顯示該公司的增長與5年同期8.5%的行業平均增長率相似。

past-earnings-growth
NYSE:ELV Past Earnings Growth February 3rd 2024
紐約證券交易所:ELV過去的收益增長 2024年2月3日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Elevance Health is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

爲公司附加價值的基礎在很大程度上與其收益增長息息相關。無論情況如何,投資者都應設法確定預期的收益增長或下降是否已計入其中。這樣做將幫助他們確定股票的未來是樂觀還是不祥的。衡量預期收益增長的一個很好的指標是市盈率,它根據收益前景決定了市場願意爲股票支付的價格。因此,你可能需要檢查一下Elevance Health相對於其行業是高市盈率還是低市盈率。

Is Elevance Health Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Elevance Health 是否有效地將其利潤再投資?

In Elevance Health's case, its respectable earnings growth can probably be explained by its low three-year median payout ratio of 20% (or a retention ratio of 80%), which suggests that the company is investing most of its profits to grow its business.

就Elevance Health而言,其可觀的收益增長可以用其三年中位數派息率低至20%(或80%的留存率)來解釋,這表明該公司正在將大部分利潤投資於發展業務。

Moreover, Elevance Health is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 16% over the next three years. The fact that the company's ROE is expected to rise to 20% over the same period is explained by the drop in the payout ratio.

此外,Elevance Health決心繼續與股東分享利潤,這是我們從其支付股息至少十年的長期歷史中推斷出來的。在研究了分析師的最新共識數據後,我們發現該公司的未來派息率預計將在未來三年降至16%。該公司的投資回報率預計將在同期上升至20%,這一事實可以用派息率的下降來解釋。

Conclusion

結論

Overall, we are quite pleased with Elevance Health's performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

總的來說,我們對Elevance Health的表現非常滿意。特別是,我們喜歡該公司對其業務進行大量再投資,而且回報率很高。毫不奇怪,這帶來了令人印象深刻的收益增長。話雖如此,從分析師目前的估計來看,我們發現該公司的收益有望增強。要詳細了解分析師對公司的最新預測,請查看該公司的分析師預測的可視化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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