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First Community Bankshares' (NASDAQ:FCBC) Earnings Growth Rate Lags the 17% CAGR Delivered to Shareholders

First Community Bankshares' (NASDAQ:FCBC) Earnings Growth Rate Lags the 17% CAGR Delivered to Shareholders

第一社區銀行股票(納斯達克股票代碼:FCBC)的收益增長率落後於向股東交付的17%的複合年增長率
Simply Wall St ·  02/03 08:45

By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But if you buy good businesses at attractive prices, your portfolio returns could exceed the average market return. For example, the First Community Bankshares, Inc. (NASDAQ:FCBC) share price is up 45% in the last three years, clearly besting the market return of around 11% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 6.0% in the last year , including dividends .

通過購買指數基金,您可以輕鬆地大致匹配市場回報。但是,如果你以誘人的價格收購優秀的企業,你的投資組合回報率可能會超過平均市場回報。例如,第一社區銀行股份公司(納斯達克股票代碼:FCBC)的股價在過去三年中上漲了45%,顯然超過了11%左右的市場回報率(不包括股息)。但是,最近的回報並不那麼令人印象深刻,該股去年的回報率僅爲6.0%,包括股息。

Although First Community Bankshares has shed US$53m from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.

儘管第一社區銀行本週的市值下跌了5300萬美元,但讓我們來看看其長期基本面趨勢,看看它們是否推動了回報。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多茲維爾的超級投資者 禾倫·巴菲特描述了股價如何並不總是合理地反映企業的價值。考慮市場對公司的看法發生了怎樣的變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。

First Community Bankshares was able to grow its EPS at 8.7% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. In comparison, the 13% per year gain in the share price outpaces the EPS growth. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did three years ago. That's not necessarily surprising considering the three-year track record of earnings growth.

第一社區銀行得以在三年內以每年8.7%的速度增長每股收益,這推動了股價的上漲。相比之下,股價每年13%的漲幅超過了每股收益的增長。因此,可以公平地假設市場對該業務的看法比三年前更高。考慮到三年的收益增長記錄,這並不一定令人驚訝。

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了 EPS 在一段時間內的跟蹤情況(如果你點擊圖片,你可以看到更多細節)。

earnings-per-share-growth
NasdaqGS:FCBC Earnings Per Share Growth February 3rd 2024
納斯達克GS:FCBC每股收益增長 2024年2月3日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of First Community Bankshares' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

可能值得注意的是,首席執行官的薪水低於類似規模公司的中位數。始終值得關注首席執行官的薪酬,但更重要的問題是公司多年來是否會增加收益。查看這張第一社區銀行股收益、收入和現金流的互動圖表,深入了解收益。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, First Community Bankshares' TSR for the last 3 years was 60%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。碰巧的是,第一社區銀行在過去三年的股東總回報率爲60%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

First Community Bankshares shareholders are up 6.0% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. The silver lining is that the gain was actually better than the average annual return of 3% per year over five year. This could indicate that the company is winning over new investors, as it pursues its strategy. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with First Community Bankshares (including 1 which can't be ignored) .

第一社區銀行的股東今年上漲了6.0%(甚至包括股息)。不幸的是,這沒有達到市場回報率。一線希望是,收益實際上好於五年內每年3%的平均年回報率。這可能表明該公司在推行其戰略時正在贏得新投資者的青睞。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。爲此,你應該了解我們在第一社區銀行股票中發現的兩個警告信號(包括一個不容忽視的警告)。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你想與管理層一起購買股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這份免費的公司名單。(提示:業內人士一直在購買它們)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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