Kadant (NYSE:KAI) Jumps 7.7% This Week, Though Earnings Growth Is Still Tracking Behind Five-year Shareholder Returns
Kadant (NYSE:KAI) Jumps 7.7% This Week, Though Earnings Growth Is Still Tracking Behind Five-year Shareholder Returns
The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But on the bright side, if you buy shares in a high quality company at the right price, you can gain well over 100%. For example, the Kadant Inc. (NYSE:KAI) share price has soared 244% in the last half decade. Most would be very happy with that. Also pleasing for shareholders was the 20% gain in the last three months. But this could be related to the strong market, which is up 13% in the last three months.
任何股票(假設你不使用槓桿)的最大損失是你的資金的100%。但好的一面是,如果你以合適的價格購買一家高質量公司的股票,你可以獲得超過100%的收益。例如,在過去的五年中,凱登公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:KAI)的股價飆升了244%。大多數人會對此感到非常滿意。同樣令股東高興的是過去三個月的20%的漲幅。但這可能與強勁的市場有關,市場在過去三個月中上漲了13%。
Since the stock has added US$246m to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.
由於該股僅在過去一週的市值就增加了2.46億美元,因此讓我們看看基礎表現是否推動了長期回報。
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
雖然市場是一種強大的定價機制,但股價反映了投資者的情緒,而不僅僅是潛在的業務表現。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和一段時間內的股價變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的。
During five years of share price growth, Kadant achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 20% per year. This EPS growth is lower than the 28% average annual increase in the share price. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth.
在五年的股價增長中,Kadant實現了每年20%的複合每股收益(EPS)增長。每股收益的增長低於股價年均增長28%。因此,可以公平地假設市場對該業務的看法比五年前更高。考慮到增長的記錄,這並不令人震驚。
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下圖中看到 EPS 隨時間推移的變化(點擊圖表查看確切值)。
We know that Kadant has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.
我們知道,在過去的三年中,Kadant的利潤有所提高,但是未來會怎樣?您可以在這張免費的交互式圖片中看到其資產負債表如何隨着時間的推移而增強(或減弱)。
What About Dividends?
分紅呢?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Kadant, it has a TSR of 257% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。就凱登而言,在過去的5年中,其股東總回報率爲257%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
It's good to see that Kadant has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 39% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 29%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. If you would like to research Kadant in more detail then you might want to take a look at whether insiders have been buying or selling shares in the company.
很高興看到Kadant在過去十二個月中向股東提供了39%的總股東回報率。這確實包括股息。這一增幅好於五年內的年度股東總回報率,即29%。因此,最近公司周圍的情緒似乎一直很樂觀。持樂觀態度的人可能會將最近股東總回報率的改善視爲業務本身隨着時間的推移而變得更好。如果你想更詳細地研究Kadant,那麼你可能需要看看內部人士是否在買入或賣出該公司的股票。
We will like Kadant better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.
如果我們看到一些重大的內幕收購,我們會更喜歡Kadant。在我們等待的同時,請查看這份免費清單,列出了最近有大量內幕收購的成長型公司。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。