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Hangzhou Lianluo Interactive Information TechnologyLtd (SZSE:002280) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

Hangzhou Lianluo Interactive Information TechnologyLtd (SZSE:002280) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

杭州聯絡互動信息技術有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002280)有債務但沒有收益;你應該擔心嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  02/04 20:07

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Hangzhou Lianluo Interactive Information Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002280) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

有人說,波動性,而不是債務,是投資者思考風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們可以看到,杭州聯羅互動信息技術有限公司, Ltd(深圳證券交易所:002280)確實在其業務中使用債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以誘人的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會成爲風險。資本主義的組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司爲了控制債務,必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東。但是,通過取代稀釋,對於需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業來說,債務可以成爲一個非常好的工具。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是同時考慮其現金和債務。

What Is Hangzhou Lianluo Interactive Information TechnologyLtd's Net Debt?

杭州聯羅互動信息技術有限公司的淨負債是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Hangzhou Lianluo Interactive Information TechnologyLtd had debt of CN¥3.27b at the end of September 2023, a reduction from CN¥4.02b over a year. However, it also had CN¥852.1m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥2.42b.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2023年9月底,杭州聯羅互動信息技術有限公司的債務爲32.7億元人民幣,較去年同期的40.2億元人民幣有所減少。但是,它也有8.521億元的現金,因此其淨負債爲24.2億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002280 Debt to Equity History February 5th 2024
SZSE: 002280 2024 年 2 月 5 日債務與股權比率歷史記錄

A Look At Hangzhou Lianluo Interactive Information TechnologyLtd's Liabilities

看看杭州聯羅互動信息技術有限公司的負債

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hangzhou Lianluo Interactive Information TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥5.68b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.87b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥852.1m and CN¥1.20b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥5.49b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,杭州聯羅互動信息技術有限公司的負債爲56.8億元人民幣,一年後到期的負債爲18.7億元人民幣。另一方面,它有8.521億元的現金和價值12.0億元人民幣的應收賬款將在一年內到期。因此,它的負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出54.9億元人民幣。

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of CN¥4.01b, we think shareholders really should watch Hangzhou Lianluo Interactive Information TechnologyLtd's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Hangzhou Lianluo Interactive Information TechnologyLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

鑑於這一赤字實際上高於該公司40.1億元人民幣的市值,我們認爲股東們確實應該關注杭州聯羅互動信息技術有限公司的債務水平,就像父母第一次看着孩子騎自行車一樣。假設,如果公司被迫通過按當前股價籌集資金來償還負債,則需要進行極其嚴重的稀釋。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲杭州聯羅互動信息技術有限公司需要收益來償還債務。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得一看收益趨勢。單擊此處查看交互式快照。

In the last year Hangzhou Lianluo Interactive Information TechnologyLtd had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 13%, to CN¥12b. That's not what we would hope to see.

去年,杭州聯羅互動信息技術有限公司在利息和稅前出現虧損,實際收入減少了13%,至120億元人民幣。這不是我們希望看到的。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

While Hangzhou Lianluo Interactive Information TechnologyLtd's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping CN¥841m. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. Not least because it burned through CN¥427m in negative free cash flow over the last year. That means it's on the risky side of things. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Hangzhou Lianluo Interactive Information TechnologyLtd .

儘管杭州聯絡互動信息技術有限公司收入的下降就像開玩笑一樣令人心動,但可以說,其息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損的吸引力更小。其息稅前利潤虧損高達8.41億元人民幣。當我們將其與巨額負債一起看時,我們對公司並不特別有信心。在對股票過於感興趣之前,我們希望看到一些強勁的短期改善。尤其是因爲它在過去一年中消耗了4.27億元人民幣的負自由現金流。這意味着它站在危險的一面。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。爲此,你應該注意我們在杭州聯羅互動信息技術有限公司發現的1個警告標誌。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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