Suli (SHSE:603585) Stock Falls 17% in Past Week as Five-year Earnings and Shareholder Returns Continue Downward Trend
Suli (SHSE:603585) Stock Falls 17% in Past Week as Five-year Earnings and Shareholder Returns Continue Downward Trend
In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Suli Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603585), since the last five years saw the share price fall 47%. And some of the more recent buyers are probably worried, too, with the stock falling 41% in the last year. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 24% in the last 90 days. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 19% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.
爲了證明選擇個股的努力是合理的,值得努力超過市場指數基金的回報。但是在任何投資組合中,個股之間的結果都會好壞參半。此時,一些股東可能會質疑他們對蘇利有限公司(SHSE: 603585)的投資,因爲在過去五年中,股價下跌了47%。一些最近的買家可能也感到擔憂,該股去年下跌了41%。股東們最近的表現更加艱難,股價在過去90天中下跌了24%。當然,這種股價走勢很可能受到了整個時期大盤下跌19%的影響。
With the stock having lost 17% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.
由於該股在過去一週下跌了17%,值得一看業務表現,看看是否有任何危險信號。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
不可否認,市場有時是有效的,但價格並不總是能反映潛在的業務表現。考慮市場對公司的看法發生了怎樣的變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。
Looking back five years, both Suli's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 21% per year. The share price decline of 12% per year isn't as bad as the EPS decline. So investors might expect EPS to bounce back -- or they may have previously foreseen the EPS decline.
回顧五年,蘇利的股價和每股收益均有所下降;後者每年下降21%。股價每年下跌12%,沒有每股收益的下降那麼嚴重。因此,投資者可能預計每股收益將反彈——或者他們此前可能已經預見到每股收益將下降。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下圖描述了 EPS 隨着時間的推移是如何變化的(點擊圖片可以看到確切的值)。
This free interactive report on Suli's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
如果你想進一步調查蘇利股票,這份關於蘇利收益、收入和現金流的免費互動報告是一個很好的起點。
What About Dividends?
分紅呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Suli the TSR over the last 5 years was -39%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。基於股息再投資的假設,股東總回報率納入了任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。我們注意到,對於蘇利而言,過去5年的股東總回報率爲-39%,好於上述股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
While the broader market lost about 26% in the twelve months, Suli shareholders did even worse, losing 39% (even including dividends). Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 7% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that Suli is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are potentially serious...
儘管整個市場在十二個月中下跌了約26%,但蘇利股東的表現甚至更糟,損失了39%(甚至包括股息)。話雖如此,在下跌的市場中,一些股票不可避免地會被超賣。關鍵是要密切關注基本發展。遺憾的是,去年的業績結束了糟糕的表現,股東在五年內每年面臨7%的總虧損。我們意識到羅斯柴爾德男爵曾說過,投資者應該 “在街頭流血時買入”,但我們警告說,投資者應首先確保他們購買的是高質量的企業。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。即便如此,請注意,Suli在我們的投資分析中顯示了3個警告信號,其中2個可能很嚴重...
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).
如果你想與管理層一起購買股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這份免費的公司名單。(提示:業內人士一直在購買它們)。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。