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Investors in SolarWinds (NYSE:SWI) Have Unfortunately Lost 32% Over the Last Five Years

Investors in SolarWinds (NYSE:SWI) Have Unfortunately Lost 32% Over the Last Five Years

不幸的是,SolarWinds(紐約證券交易所代碼:SWI)的投資者在過去五年中損失了32%
Simply Wall St ·  02/05 06:25

The main aim of stock picking is to find the market-beating stocks. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in SolarWinds Corporation (NYSE:SWI), since the last five years saw the share price fall 67%.

股票投資的主要目的是尋找能夠超越市場表現的股票,但是在任何的組合中,個別個股的表現會有好壞。在這一點上,一些股東或許會對 SolarWinds Corporation (紐交所:SWI) 的投資產生質疑,因爲過去五年該公司的股價已下滑 67%。

Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.

由於股東們長期以來都虧損了,因此讓我們回顧過去一段時間的基本面,看看是否一直與收益相一致。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

儘管一些人繼續教授有效市場假說,但已經證明市場是過度反應的動態系統,並且投資者並不總是理性的。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價的變化情況,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度如何隨着時間變化而變化。

We know that SolarWinds has been profitable in the past. On the other hand, it reported a trailing twelve months loss, suggesting it isn't reliably profitable. Other metrics might give us a better handle on how its value is changing over time.

我們知道 SolarWinds 在過去是盈利的。然而,它在過去 12 個月間的虧損表明其盈利能力不穩定,其他指標可以更好地幫助我們了解其價值的變動情況。

Arguably, the revenue drop of 4.0% a year for half a decade suggests that the company can't grow in the long term. This has probably encouraged some shareholders to sell down the stock.

在過去的五年中,SolarWinds的營業收入年均減少 4.0%,表明其長期內無法增長。這可能鼓勵一些股東拋售該股。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下面的圖表顯示了收益和營收隨時間的變化情況(通過單擊圖像揭示確切的值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:SWI Earnings and Revenue Growth February 5th 2024
紐交所:SWI 在2024年2月5日的盈利和營收增長

If you are thinking of buying or selling SolarWinds stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

如果您正在考慮買入或賣出 SolarWinds 股票,您應該查看這份免費的詳細報告以了解其資產負債表情況。

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

那麼,股東總回報(TSR)呢?

We've already covered SolarWinds' share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. SolarWinds hasn't been paying dividends, but its TSR of -32% exceeds its share price return of -67%, implying it has either spun-off a business, or raised capital at a discount; thereby providing additional value to shareholders.

我們已經提到了 SolarWinds 的股價走勢,但我們還應該提到它的總股東回報率 (TSR)。可以說,TSR 是一種更完整的回報計算方式,因爲它考慮了股息的價值(如果它們被再投資),以及任何已向股東提供折價資本的假設價值。雖然 SolarWinds 還沒有發放分紅派息,但其 TSR 達到了-32%,超過了其股價的回報率-67%,這意味着它已經分拆業務,或是以折價方式籌集了資金,從而爲股東提供了附加值。

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

SolarWinds provided a TSR of 15% over the last twelve months. But that was short of the market average. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it is certainly better than the yearly loss of about 6% endured over half a decade. So this might be a sign the business has turned its fortunes around. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with SolarWinds , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

SolarWinds 在過去 12 個月內提供了15%的總股東回報率。但是它的表現短於市場平均水平,好在這仍然是一項增益,也比近五年的年度虧損(約6%)要好得多。這可能是業務好轉的一個跡象。我覺得長期股價是企業績效的一個代理,並且要真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,當下投資風險的潛在威脅。我們已經確定了 SolarWinds 的1個警示信號,並了解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

當然,您可能在其他地方找到一家出色的企業進行投資。因此,請查看我們預計將實現盈利增長的公司的免費列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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