The Goody Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002694) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 14% share price drop.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.8x, you may still consider Goody Science and Technology as a stock probably not worth researching with its 3.8x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
How Has Goody Science and Technology Performed Recently?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Goody Science and Technology over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Goody Science and Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Goody Science and Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 24% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 37% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Goody Science and Technology's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Final Word
Despite the recent share price weakness, Goody Science and Technology's P/S remains higher than most other companies in the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Goody Science and Technology revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Goody Science and Technology (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Goody Science and Technology, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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我們對Goody Science and Technology的審查顯示,鑑於該行業即將增長,其中期收入的萎縮並未導致市銷率低於我們的預期。隨着投資者認爲收入下降,市場情緒惡化的可能性相當高,這可能會使市銷售率恢復到我們的預期水平。如果最近的中期收入趨勢持續下去,將對現有股東的投資構成重大風險,潛在投資者將很難接受股票的當前價值。