The North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd (SHSE:600812) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 28%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 36% in that time.
Following the heavy fall in price, North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x, since almost half of all companies in the Pharmaceuticals industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 2.9x and even P/S higher than 6x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
SHSE:600812 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 5th 2024
How North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd Has Been Performing
North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing revenue at a reasonable pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this good revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 5.3%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 15% overall drop in revenue. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 35% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we are not surprised that North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
What Does North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd's P/S Mean For Investors?
Having almost fallen off a cliff, North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd's share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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