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Does The Market Have A Low Tolerance For Qifeng New Material Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002521) Mixed Fundamentals?

Does The Market Have A Low Tolerance For Qifeng New Material Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002521) Mixed Fundamentals?

市場對奇峯新材料有限公司的容忍度低嗎?s (SZSE: 002521) 基本面好壞參半?
Simply Wall St ·  02/05 18:43

Qifeng New Material (SZSE:002521) has had a rough month with its share price down 16%. We, however decided to study the company's financials to determine if they have got anything to do with the price decline. Fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes so it makes sense to study the company's financials. Specifically, we decided to study Qifeng New Material's ROE in this article.

奇峯新材(深圳證券交易所:002521)經歷了艱難的一個月,其股價下跌了16%。但是,我們決定研究公司的財務狀況,以確定它們是否與價格下跌有關。基本面通常決定市場結果,因此研究公司的財務狀況是有意義的。具體而言,我們決定在本文中研究奇峯新材的投資回報率。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回報率或投資回報率是股東需要考慮的重要因素,因爲它可以告訴他們資本再投資的有效性。簡而言之,投資回報率顯示了每美元從其股東投資中產生的利潤。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何計算股本回報率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE 可以通過以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Qifeng New Material is:

因此,根據上述公式,奇峯新材的投資回報率爲:

4.5% = CN¥163m ÷ CN¥3.7b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

4.5% = 1.63億元人民幣 ÷ 37億元人民幣(基於截至2023年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.04 in profit.

“回報” 是指公司去年的收益。另一種看法是,每持有價值1元人民幣的股權,公司就能獲得0.04元人民幣的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

爲什麼投資回報率對收益增長很重要?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率衡量的是公司創造利潤的效率。根據公司選擇將多少利潤進行再投資或 “保留”,我們便能夠評估公司未來創造利潤的能力。一般而言,在其他條件相同的情況下,股本回報率和利潤留存率高的公司的增長率要高於不具有這些屬性的公司。

Qifeng New Material's Earnings Growth And 4.5% ROE

奇峯新材的收益增長和4.5%的投資回報率

It is hard to argue that Qifeng New Material's ROE is much good in and of itself. An industry comparison shows that the company's ROE is not much different from the industry average of 3.9% either. Given the low ROE Qifeng New Material's five year net income decline of 5.5% is not surprising.

很難說奇峯新材的投資回報率本身就非常好。行業比較顯示,該公司的投資回報率也與3.9%的行業平均水平沒有太大區別。鑑於投資回報率較低,奇峯新材五年淨收入下降5.5%不足爲奇。

However, when we compared Qifeng New Material's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 7.7% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

但是,當我們將奇峯新材的增長與行業的增長進行比較時,我們發現,儘管該公司的收益一直在萎縮,但同期該行業的收益增長了7.7%。這非常令人擔憂。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002521 Past Earnings Growth February 5th 2024
SZSE: 002521 過去的收益增長 2024 年 2 月 5 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Qifeng New Material's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

收益增長是股票估值的重要因素。無論如何,投資者應設法確定預期的收益增長或下降是否已計入其中。然後,這可以幫助他們確定股票是爲光明還是暗淡的未來而佈局。如果你想知道奇峯新材的估值,可以看看這個衡量其與行業相比的市盈率指標。

Is Qifeng New Material Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

奇峯新材能否有效利用其留存收益?

Looking at its three-year median payout ratio of 32% (or a retention ratio of 68%) which is pretty normal, Qifeng New Material's declining earnings is rather baffling as one would expect to see a fair bit of growth when a company is retaining a good portion of its profits. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

縱觀其三年派息率中位數爲32%(或68%的留存率),這是很正常的,奇峯新材的收益下降相當令人困惑,因爲當一家公司保留很大一部分利潤時,人們預計會出現相當大的增長。因此,這裏可能還有其他因素在起作用,這些因素可能會阻礙增長。例如,該業務面臨一些阻力。

Moreover, Qifeng New Material has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,奇峯新材已經派發股息至少十年或更長時間,這表明管理層一定已經意識到股東更喜歡分紅而不是收益增長。

Summary

摘要

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Qifeng New Material can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. To know the 2 risks we have identified for Qifeng New Material visit our risks dashboard for free.

總的來說,我們認爲奇峯新材表現出的表現可以有多種解讀。儘管該公司的再投資率確實很高,但低投資回報率意味着所有這些再投資都沒有給投資者帶來任何好處,而且還對收益增長產生了負面影響。總而言之,我們將謹慎對待這家公司,其中一種方法是研究該業務的風險狀況。要了解我們爲奇峯新材確定的兩種風險,請免費訪問我們的風險儀表板。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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