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Further Weakness as Xinglong Holding (Group) (SZSE:000955) Drops 29% This Week, Taking Three-year Losses to 40%

Further Weakness as Xinglong Holding (Group) (SZSE:000955) Drops 29% This Week, Taking Three-year Losses to 40%

由於興隆控股(集團)(深圳證券交易所股票代碼:000955)本週下跌29%,三年跌幅達到40%,進一步疲軟
Simply Wall St ·  02/05 20:20

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But the risk of stock picking is that you will likely buy under-performing companies. We regret to report that long term Xinglong Holding (Group) Company Ltd. (SZSE:000955) shareholders have had that experience, with the share price dropping 40% in three years, versus a market decline of about 29%. And the ride hasn't got any smoother in recent times over the last year, with the price 29% lower in that time. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 32% in the last three months. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 19% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.

爲了證明選擇個股的努力是合理的,值得努力超過市場指數基金的回報。但是選股的風險在於,你可能會買入表現不佳的公司。我們遺憾地報告,興隆控股(集團)有限公司(深交所股票代碼:000955)的長期股東有過這樣的經歷,股價在三年內下跌了40%,而市場跌幅約爲29%。而且在過去的一年裏,這種行程並沒有變得更加順利,同期價格下降了29%。最近跌勢加速,股價在過去三個月中下跌了32%。當然,這種股價走勢很可能受到了整個時期大盤下跌19%的影響。

After losing 29% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.

在上週下跌了29%之後,值得調查該公司的基本面,看看我們可以從過去的表現中推斷出什麼。

Because Xinglong Holding (Group) made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally expect to see good revenue growth. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one does expect good top-line growth.

由於興隆控股(集團)在過去十二個月中出現虧損,我們認爲市場可能更注重收入和收入增長,至少目前是如此。當一家公司沒有盈利時,我們通常預計收入會有良好的增長。一些公司願意推遲盈利以更快地增加收入,但在這種情況下,人們確實預計收入會有良好的增長。

In the last three years Xinglong Holding (Group) saw its revenue shrink by 21% per year. That means its revenue trend is very weak compared to other loss making companies. With revenue in decline, the share price decline of 12% per year is hardly undeserved. The key question now is whether the company has the capacity to fund itself to profitability, without more cash. Of course, it is possible for businesses to bounce back from a revenue drop - but we'd want to see that before getting interested.

在過去三年中,興隆控股(集團)的收入每年減少21%。這意味着與其他虧損公司相比,其收入趨勢非常疲軟。隨着收入的下降,股價每年下跌12%並非不值得。現在的關鍵問題是,公司是否有能力在沒有更多現金的情況下爲自己籌集資金以實現盈利。當然,企業有可能從收入下降中恢復過來——但我們希望在產生興趣之前先看看這一點。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖描述了收入和收入隨時間推移而發生的變化(點擊圖片即可顯示確切的數值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:000955 Earnings and Revenue Growth February 6th 2024
SZSE: 000955 2024年2月6日收益和收入增長

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

資產負債表的強度至關重要。可能值得一看我們關於其財務狀況如何隨着時間的推移而變化的免費報告。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

We regret to report that Xinglong Holding (Group) shareholders are down 29% for the year. Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 26%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 1.6% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - Xinglong Holding (Group) has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

我們遺憾地報告,興隆控股(集團)的股東今年下跌了29%。不幸的是,這比整個市場26%的跌幅還要嚴重。但是,可能只是股價受到了更廣泛的市場緊張情緒的影響。如果有很好的機會,可能值得關注基本面。不幸的是,去年的表現可能預示着尚未解決的挑戰,因爲它比過去五年中1.6%的年化虧損還要糟糕。我們意識到羅斯柴爾德男爵曾說過,投資者應該 “在街頭流血時買入”,但我們警告說,投資者應首先確保他們購買的是高質量的企業。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。以風險爲例,興隆控股(集團)有兩個警告標誌(還有一個有點令人擔憂),我們認爲你應該知道。

But note: Xinglong Holding (Group) may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但請注意:興隆控股(集團)可能不是最好的買入股票。因此,來看看這份過去盈利增長(以及進一步增長預測)的有趣公司的免費清單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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