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4.1% Earnings Growth Over 3 Years Has Not Materialized Into Gains for Grandblue Environment (SHSE:600323) Shareholders Over That Period

4.1% Earnings Growth Over 3 Years Has Not Materialized Into Gains for Grandblue Environment (SHSE:600323) Shareholders Over That Period

三年內4.1%的收益增長尚未轉化爲Grandblue Environment(SHSE: 600323)股東在此期間的收益
Simply Wall St ·  02/05 23:32

No-one enjoys it when they lose money on a stock. But it's hard to avoid some disappointing investments when the overall market is down. While the Grandblue Environment Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600323) share price is down 31% in the last three years, the total return to shareholders (which includes dividends) was -28%. And that total return actually beats the market decline of 31%. Furthermore, it's down 16% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders. But this could be related to the weak market, which is down 21% in the same period.

當他們在股票上虧損時,沒有人會喜歡它。但是,當整個市場下跌時,很難避免一些令人失望的投資。儘管Grandblue環境有限公司(SHSE: 600323)的股價在過去三年中下跌了31%,但股東總回報率(包括股息)爲-28%。而總回報率實際上超過了31%的市場跌幅。此外,它在大約一個季度內下降了16%。對於持有者來說,這沒什麼好玩的。但這可能與疲軟的市場有關,同期市場下跌了21%。

After losing 6.4% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.

在上週下跌6.4%之後,值得調查該公司的基本面,看看我們可以從過去的表現中推斷出什麼。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多茲維爾的超級投資者 禾倫·巴菲特描述了股價如何並不總是合理地反映企業的價值。研究市場情緒如何隨着時間的推移而變化的一種方法是研究公司股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。

During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, Grandblue Environment actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 13% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

在不幸的三年股價下跌中,Grandblue Environment的每股收益(EPS)實際上每年增長13%。鑑於股價的反應,人們可能會懷疑每股收益並不能很好地指導該期間的業務表現(可能是由於一次性的虧損或收益)。或者,過去的增長預期可能不合理。

Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

由於每股收益的變化似乎與股價的變化無關,因此值得一看其他指標。

With a rather small yield of just 1.5% we doubt that the stock's share price is based on its dividend. Revenue is actually up 20% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. It's probably worth investigating Grandblue Environment further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.

由於收益率相當低,僅爲1.5%,我們懷疑該股的股價是否基於其股息。在過去的三年中,收入實際上增長了20%,因此股價下跌似乎也不取決於收入。可能值得進一步研究Grandblue Environment;儘管我們在分析中可能遺漏了一些東西,但也可能有機會。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600323 Earnings and Revenue Growth February 6th 2024
SHSE: 600323 收益和收入增長 2024 年 2 月 6 日

We know that Grandblue Environment has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

我們知道Grandblue Environment最近提高了利潤,但是未來會發生什麼?因此,我們建議您查看這份顯示共識預測的免費報告

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Grandblue Environment's TSR for the last 3 years was -28%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮兩者之間的區別 股東總回報 (TSR) 和 股價回報。基於股息再投資的假設,股東總回報率納入了任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。碰巧的是,Grandblue Environment在過去3年的股東總回報率爲-28%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While it's never nice to take a loss, Grandblue Environment shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 18% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 28%. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 0.6%, each year, over five years. It could be that the business is just facing some short term problems, but shareholders should keep a close eye on the fundamentals. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Grandblue Environment you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.

儘管虧損從來都不是一件好事,但Grandblue Environment的股東們可以放心,包括股息在內,他們過去十二個月的18%虧損沒有28%左右的市場虧損那麼嚴重。長期投資者不會那麼沮喪,因爲他們本可以在五年內每年賺0.6%。可能是該企業正面臨一些短期問題,但股東應密切關注基本面。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。一個很好的例子:我們已經發現了兩個你應該注意的Grandblue環境警告信號,其中一個不容忽視。

Of course Grandblue Environment may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

當然,Grandblue環境可能不是最好的買入股票。因此,您可能希望看到這批免費的成長股。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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