Suli Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603585) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 31% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 47% in that time.
After such a large drop in price, Suli may be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x, since almost half of all companies in the Chemicals industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 1.6x and even P/S higher than 4x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
How Has Suli Performed Recently?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Suli over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Suli will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Suli will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Suli would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 31%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 43% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we can see why Suli is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Suli's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Chemicals companies. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
In line with expectations, Suli maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider industry forecast. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Suli (2 can't be ignored!) that we have uncovered.
If you're unsure about the strength of Suli's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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